These were our chances before kick-off.
FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?
2. Bundesliga, Sat 12 Sept, 20:30 (UK time). Full time: FC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg.
Full time: FC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects FC St. Pauli to score 1.77 goals and VfL Wolfsburg 1.83. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | 1.44 |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | 3.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.06 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| FC St. Pauli v VfL Wolfsburg | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 8.9% | 11.27 |
| 1–2 | 8.1% | 12.32 |
| 2–1 | 7.8% | 12.80 |
| 2–2 | 7.2% | 13.97 |
| 0–1 | 5.0% | 20.00 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli or draw | 60% | 1.68 |
| VfL Wolfsburg or draw | 62% | 1.60 |
| FC St. Pauli or VfL Wolfsburg (no draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| FC St. Pauli, draw no bet | 48% | 2.07 |
| VfL Wolfsburg, draw no bet | 52% | 1.93 |
League position
In the table, FC St. Pauli are in position 17 of 18 with 3 points, and VfL Wolfsburg in position 5 with 8.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg played out
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Head to head
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Common questions
Who won FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?
FC St. Pauli won 1–0 against VfL Wolfsburg (2. Bundesliga, Sat 12 Sept, 20:30 UK time).
When was FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg played?
2. Bundesliga, kick-off Sat 12 Sept, 20:30 UK time.