The NBA research desk that sets every price against the real chance.

BAI8 researches the game, then sets the real chance of each side next to the bookmaker’s price. When the chance beats the price, you see it.

See how it works

A positive edge is an estimate, not a promise. 18+, bet lawfully where you are.

Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver NuggetsNBA · Thu 22 Oct · 21:30 ET
Beats fair · value
Our chance60%Oklahoma City Thunder
DraftKings asks1.80implies 55.6%
Edge+4.4 pointsabove the price
60%Oklahoma City Thunder
40%Denver Nuggets
fair 1.67fair 2.50

We make Oklahoma City Thunder 60%, and the 1.80 on offer implies 55.6%. The 4.4‑point gap is the edge.

A worked example from thirteen research passes, set against the price.

Every badge here is the real one.

Today’s calls, already researched.

Real calls our research agents published this week. Open any of them to set it against your own bookmakers’ prices, with every source behind it.

Find the bets the price gets wrong, then see if you were right.

Where our chance beats the bookmaker’s price, the gap is your edge, counted in points: 52% against 47% is 5 points.

BAI8Example data

Desk

Our research calls, the most likely first.

New York Knicks v Philadelphia 76ersNBA · Match result
Our chance67%New York Knicks
Fair odds1.50what our chance is worth
67%New York Knicks
33%Philadelphia 76ers
fair 1.50fair 2.99

We make New York Knicks 67%, so fair odds are 1.50. The app sets that against the prices at your own bookmakers and shows the edge.

Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver NuggetsNBA · Match result
Our chance60%Oklahoma City Thunder
Fair odds1.67what our chance is worth
60%Oklahoma City Thunder
40%Denver Nuggets
fair 1.67fair 2.50

We make Oklahoma City Thunder 60%, so fair odds are 1.67. The app sets that against the prices at your own bookmakers and shows the edge.

Miami Heat v Minnesota TimberwolvesNBA · Match result
Our chance60%Minnesota Timberwolves
Fair odds1.67what our chance is worth
60%Minnesota Timberwolves
40%Miami Heat
fair 1.67fair 2.50

We make Minnesota Timberwolves 60%, so fair odds are 1.67. The app sets that against the prices at your own bookmakers and shows the edge.

Detroit Pistons v Boston CelticsNBA · Total points
Our chance56%Under 221.5
Fair odds1.79what our chance is worth

We make Under 221.5 56%, so fair odds are 1.79. The app sets that against the prices at your own bookmakers and shows the edge.

San Antonio Spurs v Oklahoma City ThunderNBA · Handicap
Our chance56%San Antonio Spurs +1.5
Fair odds1.80what our chance is worth

We make San Antonio Spurs +1.5 56%, so fair odds are 1.80. The app sets that against the prices at your own bookmakers and shows the edge.

Los Angeles Lakers v Golden State WarriorsNBA · Total points
Our chance55%Over 228.5
Fair odds1.82what our chance is worth

We make Over 228.5 55%, so fair odds are 1.82. The app sets that against the prices at your own bookmakers and shows the edge.

Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver NuggetsNBA · Thu 22 Oct · 21:30 ET · Assessed from 13 research passes
The chance of each result
60%Oklahoma City Thunder
40%Denver Nuggets
fair 1.67fair 2.50
4 priced outcomes · 4 assessed · 0 with the book’s price only
SelectionMarketPriceBookAssessed vs bookEdge
Oklahoma City ThunderMatch resultfair 1.67 · implies 55.6% · edge +4.4 pointsMatch result1.80DraftKings60.0%55.6%+4.4 pts
Over 228.5Total points · line 228.5fair 1.79 · implies 52.4% · edge +3.6 pointsTotal points1.91Pinnacle56.0%52.4%+3.6 pts
Oklahoma City Thunder −2.5Handicap · line −2.5fair 1.82 · implies 52.4% · edge +2.6 pointsHandicap1.91FanDuel55.0%52.4%+2.6 pts
Denver NuggetsMatch resultfair 2.50 · implies 47.6% · edge −7.6 pointsMatch result2.10FanDuel40.0%47.6%−7.6 pts

Your record

Every bet you keep is settled from the official result. The misses stay in.

Profit on staked bets+US$14.20
Staked bets won3 of 5
Calls that landed4 of 6
BetWhat we saidStakeResult
Oklahoma City Thunder · Match resultOn paper · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets · DraftKings 1.80assessed 60.0% · fair 1.67 · implies 55.6% · +4.4 points against the book
assessed 60.0% · fair 1.67starts in 13d 19h · edge +4.4 points
US$10.00US$18.00open
New York Knicks · Match resultOn paper · San Antonio Spurs v New York Knicks · Caesars 2.60assessed 43.0% · fair 2.33 · implies 38.5% · +4.5 points against the book
assessed 43.0% · fair 2.33won · 14 Jun
US$10.00+US$16.00called it
Under 222.5 · Total pointsWatching · New York Knicks v San Antonio Spurs · Pinnacle 1.91assessed 55.5% · fair 1.80 · implies 52.4% · +3.1 points against the book
assessed 55.5% · fair 1.80won · 11 Jun
no stakenot stakedcalled it
New York Knicks · Match resultOn paper · New York Knicks v San Antonio Spurs · BetMGM 1.85assessed 58.0% · fair 1.72 · implies 54.1% · +3.9 points against the book
assessed 58.0% · fair 1.72lost · 9 Jun
US$10.00−US$10.00missed
New York Knicks +6.5 · HandicapReal · San Antonio Spurs v New York Knicks · FanDuel 1.91assessed 56.0% · fair 1.79 · implies 52.4% · +3.6 points against the book
assessed 56.0% · fair 1.79won · 6 Jun
US$10.00+US$9.10won
Under 219.5 · Total pointsOn paper · San Antonio Spurs v New York Knicks · Pinnacle 1.91assessed 56.0% · fair 1.79 · implies 52.4% · +3.6 points against the book
assessed 56.0% · fair 1.79won · 4 Jun
US$10.00+US$9.10called it
Oklahoma City Thunder · Match resultOn paper · Oklahoma City Thunder v San Antonio Spurs · DraftKings 1.60assessed 66.0% · fair 1.52 · implies 62.5% · +3.5 points against the book
assessed 66.0% · fair 1.52lost · 24 May
US$10.00−US$10.00missed
Basketball

Basketball is decided by possessions, and what each one is worth.

Total, spread and moneyline all come from one game: its pace, its matchups and who plays.

  1. Pace and efficiency, kept apart

    Possessions and points per possession, kept apart: a fast game is not a good offence.

  2. Matchups by shot zone

    Where each team shoots and concedes, and which side the matchup tilts.

  3. Rotations and minutes

    Minutes, bench impact and lineups, and which stretches swing the game.

  4. Who is out, and who is rested

    Injuries, back-to-backs and travel first. One missing starter outweighs any trend.

  5. The price, across three markets

    Moneyline, spread and total side by side, so you see where the gap is widest.

  6. Player lines

    Each points, rebounds, assists or threes projection beside its line, with the minutes it assumes.

Basketball5 instruments

Both final scores together, the shot map and which stretch of the game swings it.

Final score bands

Where do both scores land, and who wins by how much?

San Antonio SpursHome team
New York KnicksAway team
San Antonio SpursSpursHome team
104–111102–109Selected score ranges
New York KnicksKnicksAway team
Chance
8.1%
of these score ranges
Fair price
12.41
what this outcome is worth
Representative margin and total
Spurs by about 2, about 214 total
Tap any cell to pin it here.
Knicks points
Spurs points≤9394–101102–109110–117118+
≤95
96–103
104–111
112–119
120+

Each cell gives the chance of both score ranges. Margins, totals and the result split use representative scores within those ranges.

Likeliest outcomes
Approximate result from score ranges
64%Spurs
36%Knicks
Spurs expected points
109.3
Knicks expected points
107.7
Expected total points
216.9
SourcesAssessed joint score distributionfrom the assessment run on this fixture

Pace

Possessions per 48 minutes, before tip-off.Pre-game pace estimate

San Antonio Spurs100.8
New York Knicks97.6
SourcesPre-game pace researchthe assessment's own estimate, from its research passes
Validated 3 Jun 2026, 22:30

Instruments from a real report, with example data.

Try it live

Watch a match get researched.

The real app card, replaying a worked example: thirteen passes out, one chance back, every source attached.

Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver NuggetsNBA · Thu 22 Oct · 21:30 ET · Oklahoma City Thunder to win
market-derivedbacked out of a book's price, not our number
Assessed—not researched yet
Price1.80DraftKings
Edge—nothing to compare yet

The only figure so far is what the price implies: the bookmaker’s opinion, not ours. Nothing has been researched yet. Run the assessment for our own number.

Scan a bet

Bring the slip before you place it.

One screenshot is enough. We read every leg, price the whole bet and research the match behind it.

BAI8

Scan a bet

One screenshot, one bet.
Get the whole slip researched.

DraftKingsSame game parlay3 selections
Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver NuggetsNBA · Thu 22 Oct · 21:30 ET
  1. Thunder to winMatch result1.80
  2. Over 228.5 pointsTotal points1.91
  3. SGA over 31.5 pointsPlayer points1.87
Combined odds6.43
StakeUS$10.00Potential returnUS$64.30

Practise on paper first.

Record a bet, paper one, or just watch. Each is graded by the final result, misses included.

Recording a bet never places it. BAI8 never holds money or promises a result.

Keep this bet
US$18.00back on US$10.00 if it lands
Stake
DraftKings is showing this. Change it to whatever you were given.

Only Real counts toward your record. No money moves.

Profit on staked bets+US$14.20
Staked bets won3 of 5
Calls that landed, watched included4 of 6
BetWhat we saidStakeResult
Oklahoma City Thunder · Match resultOn paper · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets · DraftKings 1.80assessed 60.0% · fair 1.67 · implies 55.6% · +4.4 points against the book
assessed 60.0% · fair 1.67starts in 13d 19h · edge +4.4 points
US$10.00US$18.00open
New York Knicks · Match resultOn paper · San Antonio Spurs v New York Knicks · Caesars 2.60assessed 43.0% · fair 2.33 · implies 38.5% · +4.5 points against the book
assessed 43.0% · fair 2.33won · 14 Jun
US$10.00+US$16.00called it
Under 222.5 · Total pointsWatching · New York Knicks v San Antonio Spurs · Pinnacle 1.91assessed 55.5% · fair 1.80 · implies 52.4% · +3.1 points against the book
assessed 55.5% · fair 1.80won · 11 Jun
no stakenot stakedcalled it
New York Knicks · Match resultOn paper · New York Knicks v San Antonio Spurs · BetMGM 1.85assessed 58.0% · fair 1.72 · implies 54.1% · +3.9 points against the book
assessed 58.0% · fair 1.72lost · 9 Jun
US$10.00−US$10.00missed
New York Knicks +6.5 · HandicapReal · San Antonio Spurs v New York Knicks · FanDuel 1.91assessed 56.0% · fair 1.79 · implies 52.4% · +3.6 points against the book
assessed 56.0% · fair 1.79won · 6 Jun
US$10.00+US$9.10won
Under 219.5 · Total pointsOn paper · San Antonio Spurs v New York Knicks · Pinnacle 1.91assessed 56.0% · fair 1.79 · implies 52.4% · +3.6 points against the book
assessed 56.0% · fair 1.79won · 4 Jun
US$10.00+US$9.10called it
Oklahoma City Thunder · Match resultOn paper · Oklahoma City Thunder v San Antonio Spurs · DraftKings 1.60assessed 66.0% · fair 1.52 · implies 62.5% · +3.5 points against the book
assessed 66.0% · fair 1.52lost · 24 May
US$10.00−US$10.00missed

An example ledger, misses included. Your own starts empty.

Where do you actually make money?

Every bet you keep settles into your profit, your return on stake (ROI) and which sports pay.

An example account, losses included. Yours starts empty.

Priced at your bookmakers, wherever you bet.

72 bookmakers, each matched to the countries that license it. Pick yours.

Where do you bet?
United KingdomFractional odds
Oklahoma City Thunder to winOklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
4/5
Fair price
2/3
A £10 stake returns
£18.00
Language
English
We price 21 bookmakers licensed here
  • SBSky Bet
  • WHWilliam Hill
  • PPPaddy Power
  • BSBetfair Sportsbook
  • BETBetfairExchange
  • LADLadbrokes
  • CORCoral
  • BETBetfred
  • +13 more
  • +16 more

Also licensed here, not in our feed: bet365, Midnite and talkSPORT BET.

Leagues and tours, among them
NBAEuroLeagueWNBA
Sports with their own instruments
  • Football
  • Tennis
  • Basketball
  • MMA
  • Formula 1
  • American football
  • Baseball
  • Ice hockey
  • Golf
  • Darts
  • Esports
  • Volleyball

Nothing hidden. Every number shows its working.

See what was read, which findings moved the chance and by how much.

How every number is made

  1. Research the match

    Thirteen passes, one question each: injuries, form, tactics, schedule, conditions, officials.

  2. Weigh every source

    A finding counts only as much as its sources earn. A stale or late source scores zero.

  3. Cap every finding

    No finding can move the number far, and a weakly sourced one moves it less.

  4. Price every outcome

    The findings become one chance per result, adding up to exactly 100%.

  5. Then check the price

    Only now does the price come in. Where our chance beats it, you see the gap.

What stands behind it

Built by engineers and AI agents. Every figure here is read from the code.

54 instruments draw each sport the way its fans read it. Prices are checked against 72 bookmakers. More than 7,000 automated tests run before every release.

Four rules every run follows

Whole, or refunded

A failed pass is retried deeper. A run that still cannot finish is never published, and your credit comes back.

The price stays out of it

No research pass sees the bookmaker’s odds, so our chance cannot copy theirs.

Refreshed before the start

Re-run four times before the start, at no cost to you.

At 72 hours, 24 hours, 6 hours and 75 minutes before the start.
Nothing hidden

Every finding shows what it did to the number and links to what it read.

Four places to ask. One shows the working.

One question, put to each: Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets. Example data.

How much work goes into the answer?

13 research agents read the match, often for over an hour.

13 findings from 468 pages read, 31 cited
  • Agent 1 Availability+0.6%from 2 findings
    Denver Nuggets list a rotation wing as out

    The league’s injury report lists him out, and his minutes go to a younger wing with a far smaller defensive role. Denver Nuggets lose one of the players they use on the opposing team’s best guard.

    84% confidence
  • Agent 2 Form & underlying play+0.5%from 2 findings
    Oklahoma City Thunder win the possession battle, not the shooting lottery

    Last season their margin came from forcing more turnovers than most sides while giving few away, and the opening games look the same. Possession margins carry over from season to season far better than three-point percentages.

    78% confidence
  • Agent 3 Tactics & style+0.2%from 3 findings
    Ball pressure attacks Denver Nuggets’ entry passes

    Denver Nuggets run much of their offence through post entries and handoffs, and Oklahoma City Thunder’s guards are quick enough to deny the first pass. A missing wing leaves Denver Nuggets one fewer reliable ball-handler to beat that pressure.

    72% confidence
  • Agent 4 Matchup history+0.2%from 1 finding
    Oklahoma City Thunder’s defence has decided the recent meetings

    The recent games between the two turned on Oklahoma City Thunder getting stops in the fourth quarter. Both rosters have changed at the edges since, so it moves the number only a little.

    62% confidence
  • Agent 5 Historical comparables+0.4%from 1 finding
    Home favourites hold up better early in a season

    In a ten-season sample, home favourites in the first three weeks beat their pre-game ratings by a small, steady margin, as rotations settle. The pattern holds in both halves of the sample.

    72% confidence
  • Agent 6 Rest, load & travel+0.5%from 2 findings
    Early-season road games cost more late on

    In the first weeks of a season, starters’ minutes are still being built up, and road teams have given up more in fourth quarters than they do later on. The effect is applied at the size the league sample supports.

    82% confidence
  • Agent 7 Weather & venueno change
    No weather, and no altitude at this venue

    The thin air that tires visitors at altitude plays no part at this venue, and an indoor court has no weather. The pass looked and found nothing, which is a result rather than an absence of one.

    72% confidence
  • Agent 8 Stakes & incentivesno change
    Too early for the standings to matter

    In the opening week neither side is managing minutes for seeding, and both are still settling their rotations. The pass found no incentive worth applying in either direction.

    64% confidence
  • Agent 9 Officiating & disciplineno change
    A crew close to the league norm

    Over last season the assigned crew’s foul and free-throw rates were within the league’s normal range, and the two teams draw fouls at similar rates. Nothing reaches the result.

    64% confidence
  • Agent 10 Public information environmentno change
    The absence came from the official report

    It was filed on the league’s injury report before any reporter had it, so there is no doubt about the source. The absence itself is counted once, under availability.

    84% confidence
  • Agent 11 Reporting consensusno change
    Confirmed by three independent outlets

    The league report and two national outlets each had the absence from their own sources. Independent confirmation raises how far the claim is trusted.

    82% confidence
  • Agent 12 Universal-pattern hypothesesno change
    A popular television-game claim, written up and given no weight

    A widely shared claim about Oklahoma City Thunder’s record in nationally televised games was written as a precise rule for the registry to test. Until it survives a holdout, it moves nothing.

    50% confidence
  • Agent 13 Adversarial review−0.4%from 2 findings
    Denver Nuggets’ starters decide more than their bench

    The missing wing is a rotation player, not a starter, and the first unit plays the minutes that matter most. The availability claim is real and slightly smaller than it first looked.

    72% confidence
Denver Nuggets list a rotation wing as out+0.6%Oklahoma City Thunder win the possession battle, not the shooting lottery+0.5%Early-season road games cost more late on+0.5%
A tipster

A pick and a price. No working shown.

@tipster_proOklahoma City Thunder to win at 1.80. Trust me.
ChatGPT or Claude

A fast answer from one prompt, in about 2 minutes.

I’d lean Oklahoma City Thunder, but anything can happen in one match.
Doing it yourself

An evening of open tabs, then a hunch.

NewsStatsForumOdds9 more

Can you check where it came from?

Every source graded before it counts

Denver Nuggets list a rotation wing as out+0.6%Oklahoma City Thunder win the possession battle, not the shooting lottery+0.5%Early-season road games cost more late on+0.5%Home favourites hold up better early in a season+0.4%official.nba.comPrimary0.92espn.comEstablished0.78Report after the startRejected0.00Capped at ×0.75 to ×1.25No single finding can move what it touches further.
A tipster

Sources rarely named, so you cannot check them.

ChatGPT or Claude

Links to what its search found, none of them graded.

Doing it yourself

Whatever you happen to read, weighed by feel.

What are the actual chances?

A chance for every outcome, adding to 100%

Total points: Over 228.556%fair 1.79Handicap: Oklahoma City Thunder −2.555%fair 1.82A fair price is 1 divided by the chance. Every market comes from the same picture of the match.
A tipster

A pick, with no chance put on it.

Oklahoma City Thunder
ChatGPT or Claude

A view, maybe one number, never every outcome.

Doing it yourself

A hunch, not a probability.

Is the price worth taking?

Your price checked against 72 bookmakers

4 priced outcomes · 4 assessed · 0 with the book’s price only
SelectionMarketPriceBookAssessed vs bookEdge
Oklahoma City ThunderMatch resultfair 1.67 · implies 55.6% · edge +4.4 pointsMatch result1.80DraftKings60.0%55.6%+4.4 pts
Over 228.5Total points · line 228.5fair 1.79 · implies 52.4% · edge +3.6 pointsTotal points1.91Pinnacle56.0%52.4%+3.6 pts
Oklahoma City Thunder −2.5Handicap · line −2.5fair 1.82 · implies 52.4% · edge +2.6 pointsHandicap1.91FanDuel55.0%52.4%+2.6 pts
Denver NuggetsMatch resultfair 2.50 · implies 47.6% · edge −7.6 pointsMatch result2.10FanDuel40.0%47.6%−7.6 pts
+4.4 ptsBest price of 72 bookmakers
A tipster

One price at one bookmaker.

DraftKings1.80
ChatGPT or Claude

A quoted price, if its search finds one. It may be stale.

Doing it yourself

The two or three bookmakers you have open.

Is it still right by the start?

Re-checked 72 hours, 24 hours, 6 hours and 75 minutes before the start

A tipster

Posted once, never updated.

ChatGPT or Claude

True as of the moment you asked.

Doing it yourself

Whenever you remember to check.

Do new bets come to you?

New bets on the Desk every day

Oklahoma City Thunder · Match resultOklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets · NBA · in 13d 19h · DraftKings
Beats fair
Assessed60.0%
Price1.80
Edge+4.4 pts
The assessment puts this above the price. Implies 55.6% · fair 1.67 · US$10.00 returns US$18.00 Our researchthe assessment's own estimate, from its research passes
Oklahoma City Thunder · Match result1.80+4.4 ptsNew York Knicks · Match result1.60+4.0 ptsUnder 221.5 · Total points1.91+3.6 pts
A tipster

A tip when they get round to posting one.

ChatGPT or Claude

Nothing until you ask.

Doing it yourself

Your own shortlist, if you make one.

Can you see how the calls went?

Every call settled, misses included

New York Knicks · Match resultOn paper · San Antonio Spurs v New York Knicks · Caesars 2.60assessed 43.0% · fair 2.33 · implies 38.5% · +4.5 points against the book
assessed 43.0% · fair 2.33won · 14 Jun
US$10.00+US$16.00called it
Under 222.5 · Total pointsWatching · New York Knicks v San Antonio Spurs · Pinnacle 1.91assessed 55.5% · fair 1.80 · implies 52.4% · +3.1 points against the book
assessed 55.5% · fair 1.80won · 11 Jun
no stakenot stakedcalled it
New York Knicks · Match resultOn paper · New York Knicks v San Antonio Spurs · BetMGM 1.85assessed 58.0% · fair 1.72 · implies 54.1% · +3.9 points against the book
assessed 58.0% · fair 1.72lost · 9 Jun
US$10.00−US$10.00missed
A tipster

The wins they choose to show.

WonWonWon
ChatGPT or Claude

Nothing settled, nothing scored.

Doing it yourself

Whatever you remember to write down.

ChatGPT and Claude are named for comparison only. Neither maker endorses BAI8.

One credit buys one researched match.

Thirteen research passes, a chance for every result. Re-reading your own is free.

What people ask before they start.

Still unsure? A person answers every email.

[email protected]

No. It holds no bookmaker account and never moves your money. Recording a bet as real only adds it to your own ledger.

A bet you record at the price you were shown, with a stake you choose and no money involved. It is graded by the result like any other. Watching records the call with no stake at all.

You upload a screenshot of a bet. BAI8 reads each leg and prices the whole bet, including legs that depend on each other. A leg it cannot read is marked unread, never guessed.

From the research, never from the bookmaker. An assessment builds each chance from the match’s own evidence, and every finding is capped and weighted by how credible its sources are. Only then is the price brought in to compare. Before an assessment, there is no number.

As long as the match needs, often more than an hour. Thirteen research passes read the match, and every source they find is graded for credibility and weighted by it. If a run cannot finish, the credit is refunded.

One assessment of one match. Opening one somebody else has already run costs a credit too, and re-reading one you hold is free. A new account gets five credits to try BAI8, valid for ten days. Every plan includes credits, and packs bought on their own never expire.

BAI8 compares prices at more than seventy bookmakers, each matched to the countries that license it, and shows them in your odds format, your currency and one of six languages. Use BAI8 only where betting is legal for you.

Your edge is the gap between our chance of a result and the chance the price implies. A positive edge is an estimate, not a promise. 18+, bet lawfully where you are. Betting loses money for most people who do it.