Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga · Sat 7 Nov, 12:00
Full time 1-2These were our chances before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser14'
Hiroki SekineOwn goal
29'
Jannik RocheltYellow card
41'
Arne SickerYellow card
43'
Joel GrodowskiYellow card
Half time0–1
57'
Leon JensenYellow card
58'
Leon ParduziYellow card
59'
Joel GrodowskiPenalty - Missed
59'
Timon WeinerPenalty - Saved
65'
Jonas MeffertYellow card
80'
87'
Jonas KerskenYellow card
88'
Leon SchneiderYellow card
Full time1–2
Key stats
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
2. Bundesliga, Sat 7 Nov, 12:00 (UK time). Full time: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld.
Full time: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Holstein Kiel to score 1.19 goals and Arminia Bielefeld 1.21. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.03 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.97 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.5% | 7.42 |
| 0–1 | 10.6% | 9.45 |
| 1–0 | 10.4% | 9.65 |
| 0–0 | 9.5% | 10.54 |
| 1–2 | 7.9% | 12.63 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel or draw | 64% | 1.57 |
| Arminia Bielefeld or draw | 65% | 1.54 |
| Holstein Kiel or Arminia Bielefeld (no draw) | 72% | 1.40 |
| Holstein Kiel, draw no bet | 49% | 2.03 |
| Arminia Bielefeld, draw no bet | 51% | 1.97 |
League position
Holstein Kiel18of 18, 8 points from 10 games
Arminia Bielefeld7of 18, 14 points from 10 games
In the table, Holstein Kiel are in position 18 of 18 with 8 points, and Arminia Bielefeld in position 7 with 14.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Holstein Kiel
Timon WeinerGSebastian SchonlauCD-LNoah MadsenCD-RLeon ParduziLBHiroki SekineRBJonas MeffertCMKasper DavidsenLMGuillermo BalziRMPhil HarresFJonas TherkelsenLFGyan De RegtRF
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Giorgi KvilitaiaOn for Jonas Therkelsen
45'
Adrian KapralikOn for Kasper Davidsen
51'
Tim HandwerkerOn for Arne Sicker
64'
Benjamin BoakyeOn for Monju Momuluh
64'
Isaiah YoungOn for Jannik Rochelt
64'
Leon SchneiderOn for Leon Jensen
67'
Ivan NekicOn for Sebastian Schonlau
68'
Steven SkrzybskiOn for Leon Parduzi
77'
Andu KelatiOn for Guillermo Balzi
84'
Felix HagmannOn for Joel Grodowski
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 11 meetings since 2017
1Holstein Kiel
2Draws
8Arminia Bielefeld
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Arminia Bielefeld won 2–1 away at Holstein Kiel (2. Bundesliga, Sat 7 Nov, 12:00 UK time).
When was Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld played?
2. Bundesliga, kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 12:00 UK time.
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