Bayer Leverkusen v SC FreiburgBundesliga · Sun 18 Oct, 14:30
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser14'
Derry Scherhant0–1 · Philipp Treu
19'
Ibrahim Maza1–1 · Patrik Schick
39'
Philipp TreuYellow card
Half time1–1
76'
Patrik Schick2–1 · Ibrahim Maza
Full time2–1
Key stats
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
Bundesliga, Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 (UK time). Full time: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg.
Full time: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Bayer Leverkusen to score 2.03 goals and SC Freiburg 1.21. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | 1.62 |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | 2.60 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.69 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.46 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Bayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.3% | 9.76 |
| 2–1 | 9.8% | 10.25 |
| 2–0 | 8.1% | 12.41 |
| 1–0 | 7.3% | 13.62 |
| 3–1 | 6.6% | 15.15 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen or draw | 68% | 1.48 |
| SC Freiburg or draw | 55% | 1.83 |
| Bayer Leverkusen or SC Freiburg (no draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| Bayer Leverkusen, draw no bet | 58% | 1.71 |
| SC Freiburg, draw no bet | 42% | 2.40 |
League position
Bayer Leverkusen4of 18, 10 points from 5 games
SC Freiburg3of 18, 13 points from 5 games
In the table, Bayer Leverkusen are in position 4 of 18 with 10 points, and SC Freiburg in position 3 with 13.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Bayer Leverkusen
Mark FlekkenGFacundo MedinaCD-LEdmond TapsobaCD-RMiguel GutiérrezLBJarell QuansahRBIbrahim MazaAMEzequiel FernándezLMAleix GarcíaRMPatrik SchickFAfonso MoreiraAM-LMoussa DiabyAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
59'
Nathan TellaOn for Afonso Moreira
64'
Lukas KüblerOn for Philipp Treu
65'
Lucas HölerOn for Keisuke Goto
73'
Malik TillmanOn for Moussa Diaby
77'
Patrick OsterhageOn for Yannick Engelhardt
77'
Cyriaque IriéOn for Niklas Beste
84'
Jonas HofmannOn for Ibrahim Maza
89'
Vincenzo GrifoOn for Derry Scherhant
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
10Leverkusen
6Draws
3SC Freiburg
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07
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Common questions
Who won Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
Bayer Leverkusen won 2–1 against SC Freiburg (Bundesliga, Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Bayer Leverkusen.
When was Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg played?
Bundesliga, kick-off Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 UK time.
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