Bayern Munich v RB LeipzigBundesliga · Sat 17 Oct, 17:30
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig: result and prediction
BundesligaSaturday 17 Oct 2026Bayern Munich
- Díaz 12'
- Pavlovic 26'
- Olise 34'
- Díaz 47'
- Kane 52'
- Díaz 69'
6–1
Full timeHalf time 3–0RB Leipzig
- Maksimovic 90'+1'
Venue Allianz Arena
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser12'
Luis Díaz1–0 · Joshua Kimmich
26'
Aleksandar Pavlovic2–0 · Luis Díaz
34'
Michael Olise3–0 · Harry Kane
Half time3–0
47'
Luis Díaz4–0 · Harry Kane
51'
Konrad LaimerYellow card
52'
Harry Kane5–0 · Nathaniel Brown
69'
Luis Díaz6–0 · Michael Olise
90'+1'
Andrija Maksimovic6–1 · Brajan Gruda
Full time6–1
Key stats
Who will win Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig?
Bundesliga, Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 (UK time). Full time: Bayern Munich 6-1 RB Leipzig.
Full time: Bayern Munich 6-1 RB Leipzig. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Bayern Munich to score 3.23 goals and RB Leipzig 1.10. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | 1.55 |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | 2.81 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 19% | 5.18 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Bayern Munich v RB Leipzig | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 3–1 | 8.1% | 12.30 |
| 2–1 | 7.5% | 13.26 |
| 3–0 | 7.4% | 13.51 |
| 2–0 | 6.9% | 14.58 |
| 4–1 | 6.6% | 15.20 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich or draw | 74% | 1.35 |
| RB Leipzig or draw | 42% | 2.40 |
| Bayern Munich or RB Leipzig (no draw) | 84% | 1.18 |
| Bayern Munich, draw no bet | 69% | 1.45 |
| RB Leipzig, draw no bet | 31% | 3.24 |
League position
Bayern Munich3of 18, 11 points from 5 games
RB Leipzig7of 18, 9 points from 5 games
In the table, Bayern Munich are in position 3 of 18 with 11 points, and RB Leipzig in position 7 with 9.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Bayern Munich
Jonas UrbigGKim Min-JaeCD-LDayot UpamecanoCD-RNathaniel BrownLBKonrad LaimerRBIsmael SaibariAMAleksandar PavlovicLMJoshua KimmichRMHarry KaneFLuis DíazAM-LMichael OliseAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Nicolas SeiwaldOn for Ezechiel Banzuzi
45'
Tidiam GomisOn for Christopher Nkunku
59'
Tom BischofOn for Aleksandar Pavlovic
59'
Josip StanisicOn for Konrad Laimer
59'
Lennart KarlOn for Harry Kane
59'
Serge GnabryOn for Ismael Saibari
59'
Benjamin HenrichsOn for Lukas Klostermann
60'
RômuloOn for Antonio Nusa
71'
Andrija MaksimovicOn for Rocco Reitz
77'
Sacha BoeyOn for Kim Min-Jae
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
10Bayern Munich
7Draws
2RB Leipzig
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig?
Bayern Munich won 6–1 against RB Leipzig (Bundesliga, Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Bayern Munich.
When was Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig played?
Bundesliga, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 UK time.
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