Borussia Dortmund v Werder BremenBundesliga · Fri 9 Oct, 19:30
Full time 2-2These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Borussia Dortmund, lost.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Bundesliga, Fri 9 Oct, 19:30 (UK time). Full time: Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen.
Full time: Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Borussia Dortmund to score 2.16 goals and Werder Bremen 0.90. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.72 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 10.9% | 9.16 |
| 2–1 | 9.8% | 10.16 |
| 1–1 | 9.8% | 10.19 |
| 1–0 | 9.4% | 10.67 |
| 3–0 | 7.9% | 12.69 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund or draw | 74% | 1.36 |
| Werder Bremen or draw | 46% | 2.16 |
| Borussia Dortmund or Werder Bremen (no draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| Borussia Dortmund, draw no bet | 67% | 1.49 |
| Werder Bremen, draw no bet | 33% | 3.04 |
League position
Borussia Dortmund1of 18, 12 points from 4 games
Werder Bremen8of 18, 7 points from 4 games
In the table, Borussia Dortmund are in position 1 of 18 with 12 points, and Werder Bremen in position 8 with 7.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 17 meetings since 2017
9Dortmund
6Draws
2Werder Bremen
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Nobody: Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen drew 2–2 (Bundesliga, Fri 9 Oct, 19:30 UK time).
When was Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen played?
Bundesliga, kick-off Fri 9 Oct, 19:30 UK time.
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