Hamburger SV v VfB StuttgartBundesliga · Sat 17 Oct, 14:30
Full time 1-0These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: VfB Stuttgart, lost.
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser54'
Warmed OmariYellow card
82'
Nicolás CapaldoYellow card
85'
Otto StangeYellow card
88'
Miro Muheim1–0 · Zakaria El Ouahdi
Full time1–0
Key stats
Who will win Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bundesliga, Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 (UK time). Full time: Hamburger SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart.
Full time: Hamburger SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Hamburger SV to score 1.44 goals and VfB Stuttgart 2.01. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | 1.50 |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | 2.99 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 9.8% | 10.24 |
| 1–2 | 9.3% | 10.81 |
| 2–2 | 6.6% | 15.06 |
| 2–1 | 6.6% | 15.17 |
| 0–2 | 6.4% | 15.53 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV or draw | 55% | 1.81 |
| VfB Stuttgart or draw | 67% | 1.49 |
| Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart (no draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| Hamburger SV, draw no bet | 42% | 2.37 |
| VfB Stuttgart, draw no bet | 58% | 1.73 |
League position
Hamburger SV13of 18, 6 points from 5 games
VfB Stuttgart12of 18, 6 points from 5 games
In the table, Hamburger SV are in position 13 of 18 with 6 points, and VfB Stuttgart in position 12 with 6.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Hamburger SV
Daniel Heuer FernandesGSebastiaan BornauwCDWarmed OmariCD-LNicolás CapaldoCD-RMiro MuheimCM-LMartin AdelineCM-RBilal NadirAMLouis LemkeLMDavid Møller WolfeRMYussuf PoulsenCF-LFabio VieiraCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
61'
Otto StangeOn for Yussuf Poulsen
67'
Chris FührichOn for Bilal El Khannouss
67'
Grischa PrömelOn for Atakan Karazor
77'
Leo SauerOn for Jamie Leweling
77'
Dzenan PejcinovicOn for Ermedin Demirovic
78'
Zakaria El OuahdiOn for Louis Lemke
78'
Terem MoffiOn for Fabio Vieira
78'
Albert GrønbaekOn for Martin Adeline
84'
Kofi AmoakoOn for Bilal Nadir
89'
Lorenz AssignonOn for Ramon Hendriks
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 7 meetings since 2017
4Hamburger SV
1Draws
2VfB Stuttgart
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
Hamburger SV won 1–0 against VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga, Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 UK time).
When was Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart played?
Bundesliga, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 UK time.
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