Mainz 05 v Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga · Sat 10 Oct, 15:30
Full time 3-4These were our chances before kick-off.
Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bundesliga, Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 (UK time). Full time: Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen.
Full time: Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Mainz 05 to score 1.58 goals and Bayer Leverkusen 1.64. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | 1.55 |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | 2.83 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.2% | 8.93 |
| 1–2 | 8.5% | 11.78 |
| 2–1 | 8.2% | 12.21 |
| 2–2 | 6.7% | 14.95 |
| 0–1 | 5.8% | 17.33 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 or draw | 61% | 1.63 |
| Bayer Leverkusen or draw | 64% | 1.57 |
| Mainz 05 or Bayer Leverkusen (no draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| Mainz 05, draw no bet | 48% | 2.07 |
| Bayer Leverkusen, draw no bet | 52% | 1.93 |
League position
Mainz 057of 18, 7 points from 4 games
Bayer Leverkusen6of 18, 7 points from 4 games
In the table, Mainz 05 are in position 7 of 18 with 7 points, and Bayer Leverkusen in position 6 with 7.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
3Mainz 05
3Draws
13Leverkusen
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayer Leverkusen won 4–3 away at Mainz 05 (Bundesliga, Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 UK time).
When was Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen played?
Bundesliga, kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 UK time.
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