Mainz 05 v Bayern MunichBundesliga · Sat 7 Nov, 14:30
Full time 1-2These were our chances before kick-off.
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser14'
Joshua Kimmich0–1 · Harry Kane
Half time0–1
57'
Lennart Karl0–2 · Harry Kane
76'
Konrad LaimerYellow card
90'+2'
Phillip Tietz1–2 · Benedict Hollerbach
Full time1–2
Key stats
Who will win Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich?
Bundesliga, Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 (UK time). Full time: Mainz 05 1-2 Bayern Munich.
Full time: Mainz 05 1-2 Bayern Munich. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Mainz 05 to score 1.15 goals and Bayern Munich 3.06. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | 2.89 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 21% | 4.77 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Mainz 05 v Bayern Munich | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 8.2% | 12.25 |
| 1–2 | 8.0% | 12.48 |
| 0–3 | 7.1% | 14.08 |
| 0–2 | 7.0% | 14.35 |
| 1–4 | 6.2% | 16.05 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 or draw | 25% | 4.02 |
| Bayern Munich or draw | 89% | 1.12 |
| Mainz 05 or Bayern Munich (no draw) | 86% | 1.17 |
| Mainz 05, draw no bet | 12% | 8.04 |
| Bayern Munich, draw no bet | 88% | 1.14 |
League position
Mainz 0510of 18, 10 points from 8 games
Bayern Munich1of 18, 18 points from 8 games
In the table, Mainz 05 are in position 10 of 18 with 10 points, and Bayern Munich in position 1 with 18.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Substitutions
45'
Jonas UrbigOn for Manuel Neuer
63'
Phillip TietzOn for Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
63'
Paul NebelOn for Lee Jae-Sung
67'
Tom BischofOn for Lennart Karl
67'
Alphonso DaviesOn for Josip Stanisic
68'
Benedict HollerbachOn for Sheraldo Becker
69'
Rael-Tshimbela NakuzolaOn for Silvan Widmer
82'
Eric MartelOn for Anthony Caci
86'
Hiroki ItoOn for Konrad Laimer
86'
Sacha BoeyOn for Joshua Kimmich
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
4Mainz 05
1Draws
14Bayern Munich
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich?
Bayern Munich won 2–1 away at Mainz 05 (Bundesliga, Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 UK time).
When was Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich played?
Bundesliga, kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 UK time.
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