Mainz 05 v Werder BremenBundesliga · Sat 24 Oct, 15:30
Full time 2-3These were our chances before kick-off.
Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen: result and prediction
BundesligaSaturday 24 Oct 2026Mainz 05
- Caci 33'
- Jae-Sung 63'
2–3
Full timeHalf time 1–2Werder Bremen
- Füllkrug 7' (pen)
- Füllkrug 25' (pen)
- Reis 61'
Venue MEWA ARENA
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser7'
Niclas FüllkrugPenalty
25'
Niclas FüllkrugPenalty
33'
Anthony CaciSheraldo Becker
38'
Ludovit ReisYellow card
Half time1–2
61'
Ludovit ReisMarco Grüll
63'
Lee Jae-SungAnthony Caci
69'
Phillipp MweneYellow card
90'+4'
Alexander SchwolowYellow card
Full time2–3
Key stats
Who will win Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
Bundesliga, Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 (UK time). Full time: Mainz 05 2-3 Werder Bremen.
Full time: Mainz 05 2-3 Werder Bremen. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Mainz 05 to score 1.93 goals and Werder Bremen 1.27. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | 1.62 |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | 2.62 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.4% | 9.62 |
| 2–1 | 9.6% | 10.38 |
| 2–0 | 7.6% | 13.21 |
| 1–0 | 7.5% | 13.39 |
| 1–2 | 6.4% | 15.70 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 or draw | 75% | 1.33 |
| Werder Bremen or draw | 48% | 2.09 |
| Mainz 05 or Werder Bremen (no draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| Mainz 05, draw no bet | 68% | 1.47 |
| Werder Bremen, draw no bet | 32% | 3.11 |
League position
Mainz 055of 18, 10 points from 6 games
Werder Bremen8of 18, 9 points from 6 games
In the table, Mainz 05 are in position 5 of 18 with 10 points, and Werder Bremen in position 8 with 9.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Mainz 05
Alexander SchwolowGStefan PoschCDKacper PotulskiCD-LDanny da CostaCD-RNadiem AmiriCM-LLee Jae-SungCM-RKaishu SanoAMPhillipp MweneLMAnthony CaciRMPhillip TietzCF-LSheraldo BeckerCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Mick SchmetgensOn for Olivier Deman
59'
Oskar WójcikOn for Mitchell Weiser
72'
Eren DinkciOn for Chuki
75'
Ransford-Yeboah KönigsdörfferOn for Lee Jae-Sung
75'
Silvan WidmerOn for Anthony Caci
81'
Cedric IttenOn for Niclas Füllkrug
85'
Benedict HollerbachOn for Sheraldo Becker
85'
Paul NebelOn for Danny da Costa
90'+1'
Eric MartelOn for Kaishu Sano
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 17 meetings since 2017
6Mainz 05
3Draws
8Werder Bremen
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
Werder Bremen won 3–2 away at Mainz 05 (Bundesliga, Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 UK time).
When was Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen played?
Bundesliga, kick-off Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 UK time.
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