These were our chances before kick-off.
SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich: result and prediction
- Bischof 82' (og)
- Upamecano 16'
- Gnabry 42'
- Olise 90'+5'
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?
Bundesliga, Sun 25 Oct, 16:30 (UK time). Full time: SC Freiburg 1-3 Bayern Munich.
Full time: SC Freiburg 1-3 Bayern Munich. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects SC Freiburg to score 1.08 goals and Bayern Munich 2.61. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | 1.63 |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | 2.60 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.49 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 1.98 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| SC Freiburg v Bayern Munich | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–2 | 9.2% | 10.89 |
| 0–2 | 8.5% | 11.78 |
| 1–3 | 8.0% | 12.52 |
| 0–3 | 7.4% | 13.53 |
| 1–1 | 7.3% | 13.70 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg or draw | 33% | 3.03 |
| Bayern Munich or draw | 85% | 1.18 |
| SC Freiburg or Bayern Munich (no draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| SC Freiburg, draw no bet | 18% | 5.43 |
| Bayern Munich, draw no bet | 82% | 1.23 |
League position
In the table, SC Freiburg are in position 3 of 18 with 13 points, and Bayern Munich in position 2 with 14.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
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How SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich played out
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Substitutions
Form
Head to head
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Next up: Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln
Fri 20 Nov, 19:30. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
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Common questions
Who won SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?
Bayern Munich won 3–1 away at SC Freiburg (Bundesliga, Sun 25 Oct, 16:30 UK time).
Did BAI8 call SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Bayern Munich.
When was SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich played?
Bundesliga, kick-off Sun 25 Oct, 16:30 UK time.