These were our chances before kick-off.
SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04?
Bundesliga, Sun 11 Oct, 17:30 (UK time). Full time: SC Freiburg 2-1 Schalke 04.
Full time: SC Freiburg 2-1 Schalke 04. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects SC Freiburg to score 2.13 goals and Schalke 04 0.96. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.68 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| SC Freiburg v Schalke 04 | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 10.4% | 9.65 |
| 1–1 | 10.0% | 9.99 |
| 2–1 | 9.9% | 10.10 |
| 1–0 | 9.0% | 11.12 |
| 3–0 | 7.4% | 13.57 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg or draw | 85% | 1.18 |
| Schalke 04 or draw | 36% | 2.75 |
| SC Freiburg or Schalke 04 (no draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| SC Freiburg, draw no bet | 81% | 1.24 |
| Schalke 04, draw no bet | 19% | 5.21 |
League position
In the table, SC Freiburg are in position 3 of 18 with 10 points, and Schalke 04 in position 13 with 5.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 played out
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Form
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Common questions
Who won SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04?
SC Freiburg won 2–1 against Schalke 04 (Bundesliga, Sun 11 Oct, 17:30 UK time).
When was SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 played?
Bundesliga, kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 17:30 UK time.