Schalke 04 v Mainz 05Bundesliga · Sat 17 Oct, 15:30
Full time 0-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05?
Bundesliga, Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 (UK time). Full time: Schalke 04 0-1 Mainz 05.
Full time: Schalke 04 0-1 Mainz 05. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Schalke 04 to score 1.29 goals and Mainz 05 1.60. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.42 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Schalke 04 v Mainz 05 | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.2% | 8.21 |
| 1–2 | 9.2% | 10.89 |
| 0–1 | 8.1% | 12.30 |
| 2–1 | 7.4% | 13.51 |
| 0–2 | 7.1% | 14.06 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Schalke 04 or draw | 56% | 1.79 |
| Mainz 05 or draw | 70% | 1.43 |
| Schalke 04 or Mainz 05 (no draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| Schalke 04, draw no bet | 41% | 2.46 |
| Mainz 05, draw no bet | 59% | 1.68 |
League position
Schalke 0414of 18, 5 points from 5 games
Mainz 059of 18, 7 points from 5 games
In the table, Schalke 04 are in position 14 of 18 with 5 points, and Mainz 05 in position 9 with 7.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Schalke 04
Loris KariusGNikola KaticCDHasan KurucayCD-LTimo BeckerCD-RSatoshi TanakaCM-LSoufian El-FaouziCM-RRobin GosensLMAdrian GantenbeinRMEdin DzekoFAdil AouchicheCF-LKenan KaramanCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
60'
Hwang Hee-ChanOn for Edin Dzeko
60'
Junior Dina EbimbeOn for Adrian Gantenbein
71'
Maximilian WöberOn for Nikola Katic
71'
Junior AdamuOn for Adil Aouchiche
76'
Paul NebelOn for Lee Jae-Sung
76'
Ransford-Yeboah KönigsdörfferOn for Sheraldo Becker
79'
Vitalie BeckerOn for Robin Gosens
86'
Eric MartelOn for Nadiem Amiri
90'+1'
Lennard MaloneyOn for Phillip Tietz
90'+1'
Silvan WidmerOn for Anthony Caci
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 11 meetings since 2017
6Schalke 04
3Draws
2Mainz 05
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05?
Mainz 05 won 1–0 away at Schalke 04 (Bundesliga, Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 UK time).
When was Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 played?
Bundesliga, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 UK time.
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