These were our chances before kick-off.
SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05: result and prediction
- Keidel 7'
- Onyeka 26'
- Krattenmacher 45'+1'
- Campbell 90'
- Hollerbach 90'+2'
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05?
Bundesliga, Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 (UK time). Full time: SV Elversberg 4-1 Mainz 05.
Full time: SV Elversberg 4-1 Mainz 05. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects SV Elversberg to score 1.54 goals and Mainz 05 1.65. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | 2.78 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| SV Elversberg v Mainz 05 | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.8% | 9.23 |
| 1–2 | 8.6% | 11.59 |
| 2–1 | 8.1% | 12.42 |
| 2–2 | 6.7% | 15.02 |
| 0–1 | 6.4% | 15.70 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg or draw | 60% | 1.67 |
| Mainz 05 or draw | 64% | 1.55 |
| SV Elversberg or Mainz 05 (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| SV Elversberg, draw no bet | 47% | 2.13 |
| Mainz 05, draw no bet | 53% | 1.88 |
League position
In the table, SV Elversberg are in position 8 of 18 with 10 points, and Mainz 05 in position 7 with 10.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05 played out
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Substitutions
Form
Head to head
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Common questions
Who won SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05?
SV Elversberg won 4–1 against Mainz 05 (Bundesliga, Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 UK time).
When was SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05 played?
Bundesliga, kick-off Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 UK time.