TSG Hoffenheim v Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga · Sun 25 Oct, 14:30
Full time 3-0These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Bayer Leverkusen, lost.
TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser40'
Ezequiel FernándezYellow card
45'
Alexander PrassYellow card
Half time0–0
58'
Patrik SchickYellow card
67'
Leon AvdullahuYellow card
75'
Facundo MedinaYellow card
79'
Andrej KramaricPenalty
82'
Adam DaghimYellow card
89'
Alexander PrassAndrej Kramaric
90'+1'
Alexander PrassRed card
90'+3'
Loïc BadéYellow card
90'+5'
Full time3–0
Key stats
Who will win TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bundesliga, Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 (UK time). Full time: TSG Hoffenheim 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen.
Full time: TSG Hoffenheim 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects TSG Hoffenheim to score 1.69 goals and Bayer Leverkusen 1.74. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | 3.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.00 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| TSG Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 9.9% | 10.12 |
| 1–2 | 8.3% | 12.08 |
| 2–1 | 8.1% | 12.42 |
| 2–2 | 7.0% | 14.29 |
| 0–1 | 5.3% | 19.01 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| TSG Hoffenheim or draw | 56% | 1.79 |
| Bayer Leverkusen or draw | 68% | 1.47 |
| TSG Hoffenheim or Bayer Leverkusen (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| TSG Hoffenheim, draw no bet | 42% | 2.38 |
| Bayer Leverkusen, draw no bet | 58% | 1.73 |
League position
TSG Hoffenheim14of 18, 6 points from 6 games
Bayer Leverkusen4of 18, 13 points from 6 games
In the table, TSG Hoffenheim are in position 14 of 18 with 6 points, and Bayer Leverkusen in position 4 with 13.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
TSG Hoffenheim
Oliver BaumannGKoki MachidaCD-LOzan KabakCD-RMats RotsLBVladimír CoufalRBLeon AvdullahuCM-LWouter BurgerCM-RAdam DaghimLMAlexander PrassRMAdam HlozekCF-LFisnik AsllaniCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
41'
Malik TillmanOn for Moussa Diaby
64'
Robert AndrichOn for Ezequiel Fernández
64'
Afonso MoreiraOn for Nathan Tella
64'
Loïc BadéOn for Jarell Quansah
65'
Andrej KramaricOn for Adam Hlozek
72'
Bambasé ContéOn for Wouter Burger
84'
Robin HranácOn for Fisnik Asllani
84'
Max MoerstedtOn for Adam Daghim
84'
Jonas HofmannOn for Facundo Medina
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
7TSG Hoffenheim
4Draws
8Leverkusen
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
TSG Hoffenheim won 3–0 against Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga, Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 UK time).
When was TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen played?
Bundesliga, kick-off Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 UK time.
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