TSG Hoffenheim v Hamburger SVBundesliga · Sat 10 Oct, 14:30
Full time 2-3These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: TSG Hoffenheim, lost.
TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?
Bundesliga, Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 (UK time). Full time: TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Hamburger SV.
Full time: TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Hamburger SV. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects TSG Hoffenheim to score 2.22 goals and Hamburger SV 1.19. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | 1.59 |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | 2.68 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.96 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| TSG Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–1 | 9.7% | 10.32 |
| 1–1 | 9.4% | 10.64 |
| 2–0 | 8.1% | 12.29 |
| 3–1 | 7.2% | 13.95 |
| 1–0 | 6.6% | 15.06 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| TSG Hoffenheim or draw | 71% | 1.41 |
| Hamburger SV or draw | 51% | 1.97 |
| TSG Hoffenheim or Hamburger SV (no draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| TSG Hoffenheim, draw no bet | 63% | 1.59 |
| Hamburger SV, draw no bet | 37% | 2.70 |
League position
TSG Hoffenheim14of 18, 3 points from 4 games
Hamburger SV16of 18, 3 points from 4 games
In the table, TSG Hoffenheim are in position 14 of 18 with 3 points, and Hamburger SV in position 16 with 3.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 5 meetings since 2017
3TSG Hoffenheim
0Draws
2Hamburger SV
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?
Hamburger SV won 3–2 away at TSG Hoffenheim (Bundesliga, Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 UK time).
When was TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV played?
Bundesliga, kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 UK time.
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