These were our chances before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
Bundesliga, Sat 19 Sept, 18:30 (UK time). Full time: VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund.
Full time: VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects VfB Stuttgart to score 1.73 goals and Borussia Dortmund 1.55. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | 2.91 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.75 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.41 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.9% | 9.14 |
| 2–1 | 8.7% | 11.45 |
| 1–2 | 7.8% | 12.79 |
| 2–2 | 6.8% | 14.79 |
| 1–0 | 5.7% | 17.67 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart or draw | 66% | 1.51 |
| Borussia Dortmund or draw | 59% | 1.71 |
| VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund (no draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| VfB Stuttgart, draw no bet | 55% | 1.82 |
| Borussia Dortmund, draw no bet | 45% | 2.23 |
League position
In the table, VfB Stuttgart are in position 14 of 18 with 3 points, and Borussia Dortmund in position 3 with 9.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund played out
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Common questions
Who won VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Dortmund won 1–0 away at VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga, Sat 19 Sept, 18:30 UK time).
When was VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund played?
Bundesliga, kick-off Sat 19 Sept, 18:30 UK time.