These were our chances before kick-off.
Birmingham City vs Millwall: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Birmingham City vs Millwall?
Championship, Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Birmingham City 3-0 Millwall.
Full time: Birmingham City 3-0 Millwall. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Birmingham City to score 1.43 goals and Millwall 1.08. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.03 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.09 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Birmingham City v Millwall | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.9% | 7.74 |
| 1–0 | 11.2% | 8.90 |
| 2–1 | 9.0% | 11.15 |
| 0–0 | 8.5% | 11.78 |
| 0–1 | 8.4% | 11.89 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City or draw | 75% | 1.34 |
| Millwall or draw | 52% | 1.94 |
| Birmingham City or Millwall (no draw) | 73% | 1.36 |
| Birmingham City, draw no bet | 66% | 1.52 |
| Millwall, draw no bet | 34% | 2.93 |
League position
In the table, Birmingham City are in position 7 of 24 with 23 points, and Millwall in position 13 with 18.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
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How Birmingham City vs Millwall played out
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Substitutions
Form
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Next up: Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers
Sat 21 Nov, 12:30. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
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Common questions
Who won Birmingham City vs Millwall?
Birmingham City won 3–0 against Millwall (Championship, Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Birmingham City vs Millwall?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Birmingham City.
When was Birmingham City vs Millwall played?
Championship, kick-off Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 UK time.