Bolton Wanderers v MiddlesbroughChampionship · Fri 23 Oct, 20:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough: result and prediction
ChampionshipFriday 23 Oct 2026Bolton Wanderers
- Bair 45'+2'
1–5
Full timeHalf time 1–3Middlesbrough
- Morris 13'
- Lankshear 31'
- Brunt 39' (og)
- Cozier-Duberry 73'
- Lankshear 78'
Venue Toughsheet Community StadiumReferee S HooperAttendance 26,257
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser13'
Aidan MorrisAmario Cozier-Duberry
31'
Will LankshearTommy Conway
39'
Lewis BruntOwn goal
45'+2'
Thelonius BairGaizka Larrazabal
Half time1–3
63'
Josh SheehanYellow card
73'
Amario Cozier-DuberryRiley McGree
78'
Will LankshearRiley McGree
Full time1–5
Key stats
Who will win Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?
Championship, Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Bolton Wanderers 1-5 Middlesbrough.
Full time: Bolton Wanderers 1-5 Middlesbrough. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Bolton Wanderers to score 1.18 goals and Middlesbrough 1.88. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.43 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.73 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Bolton Wanderers v Middlesbrough | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.6% | 9.44 |
| 1–2 | 9.8% | 10.24 |
| 0–1 | 8.6% | 11.60 |
| 0–2 | 8.3% | 12.11 |
| 2–1 | 6.2% | 16.23 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers or draw | 49% | 2.04 |
| Middlesbrough or draw | 74% | 1.34 |
| Bolton Wanderers or Middlesbrough (no draw) | 77% | 1.31 |
| Bolton Wanderers, draw no bet | 33% | 2.99 |
| Middlesbrough, draw no bet | 67% | 1.50 |
League position
Bolton Wanderers15of 24, 14 points from 11 games
Middlesbrough3of 24, 22 points from 11 games
In the table, Bolton Wanderers are in position 15 of 24 with 14 points, and Middlesbrough in position 3 with 22.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Bolton Wanderers
Gavin BazunuGLewis BruntCD-LEoin ToalCD-RAkin FamewoLBGaizka LarrazabalRBRuben RodriguesAMEthan ErhahonLMJosh SheehanRMThelonius BairFThierry GaleAM-LKyliane DongAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Max ConwayOn for Akin Famewo
45'
Atsuki ItoOn for Ruben Rodrigues
55'
Sam DalbyOn for Thelonius Bair
55'
Ryan HardieOn for Ethan Erhahon
69'
Max ArfstenOn for Tommy Conway
74'
Xavier SimonsOn for Kyliane Dong
79'
Leo CastledineOn for Riley McGree
79'
Jeremy SarmientoOn for Amario Cozier-Duberry
79'
Kyle JosephOn for Will Lankshear
86'
Myles Peart-HarrisOn for Sebastian Berhalter
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 5 meetings since 2017
0Bolton Wanderers
0Draws
5Middlesbrough
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?
Middlesbrough won 5–1 away at Bolton Wanderers (Championship, Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Middlesbrough.
When was Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough played?
Championship, kick-off Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 UK time.
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