These were our chances before kick-off.
Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Championship, Fri 16 Oct, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Burnley 1-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Full time: Burnley 1-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Burnley to score 1.38 goals and Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.36. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.41 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Burnley v Wolverhampton Wanderers | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.9% | 7.76 |
| 2–1 | 8.4% | 11.96 |
| 1–2 | 8.2% | 12.15 |
| 1–0 | 8.2% | 12.15 |
| 0–1 | 8.1% | 12.36 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley or draw | 59% | 1.68 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw | 65% | 1.55 |
| Burnley or Wolverhampton Wanderers (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| Burnley, draw no bet | 47% | 2.15 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers, draw no bet | 53% | 1.87 |
League position
In the table, Burnley are in position 21 of 24 with 8 points, and Wolverhampton Wanderers in position 10 with 14.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
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How Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers played out
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Substitutions
Form
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Next up: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic
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Common questions
Who won Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Wolverhampton Wanderers won 2–1 away at Burnley (Championship, Fri 16 Oct, 20:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Wolverhampton Wanderers.
When was Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers played?
Championship, kick-off Fri 16 Oct, 20:00 UK time.