These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Birmingham City, lost.
Cardiff City vs Birmingham City: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Cardiff City vs Birmingham City?
Championship, Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 (UK time). Full time: Cardiff City 1-0 Birmingham City.
Full time: Cardiff City 1-0 Birmingham City. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Cardiff City to score 1.37 goals and Birmingham City 1.74. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | 1.62 |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | 2.61 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Cardiff City v Birmingham City | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.8% | 9.23 |
| 1–2 | 9.3% | 10.80 |
| 0–1 | 7.6% | 13.16 |
| 2–1 | 7.3% | 13.74 |
| 0–2 | 6.8% | 14.77 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City or draw | 59% | 1.71 |
| Birmingham City or draw | 67% | 1.49 |
| Cardiff City or Birmingham City (no draw) | 74% | 1.34 |
| Cardiff City, draw no bet | 44% | 2.26 |
| Birmingham City, draw no bet | 56% | 1.79 |
League position
In the table, Cardiff City are in position 20 of 24 with 11 points, and Birmingham City in position 5 with 20.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
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How Cardiff City vs Birmingham City played out
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Common questions
Who won Cardiff City vs Birmingham City?
Cardiff City won 1–0 against Birmingham City (Championship, Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 UK time).
When was Cardiff City vs Birmingham City played?
Championship, kick-off Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 UK time.