Cardiff City v BurnleyChampionship · Sat 7 Nov, 15:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Cardiff City vs Burnley: result and prediction
ChampionshipSaturday 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK timeCardiff City
- Tanner 40'
- Salech 65'
- Moylan 75' (pen)
- Salech 82'
- Robertson 90'+4'
5–4
Full timeHalf time 1–2Burnley
- Hountondji 15'
- Edwards 25'
- Ramazani 55'
- Robertson 62' (og)
Venue Cardiff City StadiumReferee O LangfordAttendance 19,462
Odds at kick-off
Cardiff City2.06Won
Draw4.40Best at Betfair
Burnley3.85Best at Matchbook
What the bookmakers expected
BAI8 assessedRead the assessment
Our research published this before kick-off: the chance we gave each result.
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser15'
Andreas HountondjiLucas Pires
25'
Marcus EdwardsJaydon Banel
40'
Ollie TannerRubin Colwill
Half time1–2
50'
Krystian BielikYellow card
62'
Alex RobertsonOwn goal
65'
Yousef SalechCian Ashford
75'
Jack MoylanPenalty
79'
Joel BaganYellow card
79'
Largie RamazaniYellow card
82'
Yousef SalechRubin Colwill
90'+4'
Alex RobertsonChris Willock
90'+9'
Kyle WalkerYellow card
90'+11'
Josh LaurentYellow card
90'+11'
Rubin ColwillYellow card
90'+13'
Yousef SalechYellow card
Full time5–4
Key stats
Who will win Cardiff City vs Burnley?
Championship, Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 (UK time). Full time: Cardiff City 5-4 Burnley.
Full time: Cardiff City 5-4 Burnley. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Cardiff City to score 1.71 goals and Burnley 1.52. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | 2.79 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.67 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Cardiff City v Burnley | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.6% | 9.43 |
| 2–1 | 8.8% | 11.35 |
| 1–2 | 7.8% | 12.82 |
| 2–2 | 6.7% | 14.99 |
| 1–0 | 6.5% | 15.41 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City or draw | 71% | 1.42 |
| Burnley or draw | 55% | 1.83 |
| Cardiff City or Burnley (no draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| Cardiff City, draw no bet | 61% | 1.65 |
| Burnley, draw no bet | 39% | 2.54 |
League position
Cardiff City18of 24, 15 points from 14 games
Burnley22of 24, 10 points from 14 games
In the table, Cardiff City are in position 18 of 24 with 15 points, and Burnley in position 22 with 10.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Odds at kick-off
Cardiff City2.06Best at LeoVegas (SE)
Draw4.40Best at Betfair
Burnley3.85Best at Matchbook
BookmakerCardiff CityDrawBurnley
BetfairExchange1.964.403.80
BetfairExchange1.964.403.80
BetfairExchange1.964.403.80
LeoVegas (SE)2.063.953.45
MatchbookExchange1.974.203.85
1xBet1.933.863.42
888sport1.853.803.40
Bally Bet2.003.753.30
The last prices each bookmaker quoted before the start. BAI8 is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.
How Cardiff City vs Burnley played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Substitutions
58'
Aaron RamseyOn for Marcus Edwards
58'
Josh CullenOn for Reo Hatate
63'
Yousef SalechOn for Ollie Tanner
64'
Connor RobertsOn for Lucas Pires
64'
Oliver SonneOn for Jaydon Banel
71'
Calum ScanlonOn for Krystian Bielik
80'
Zeki AmdouniOn for Andreas Hountondji
90'+6'
Joel ColwillOn for Jack Moylan
90'+6'
Ronan KpakioOn for Chris Willock
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 7 meetings since 2018
1Cardiff City
1Draws
5Burnley
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Cardiff City vs Burnley?
Cardiff City won 5–4 against Burnley (Championship, Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Cardiff City vs Burnley?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Cardiff City.
When was Cardiff City vs Burnley played?
Championship, kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 UK time.
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