Derby County v Birmingham CityChampionship · Sat 12 Sept, 13:30
Full time 1-2These were our chances before kick-off.
Derby County vs Birmingham City: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Derby County vs Birmingham City?
Championship, Sat 12 Sept, 13:30 (UK time). Full time: Derby County 1-2 Birmingham City.
Full time: Derby County 1-2 Birmingham City. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Derby County to score 1.14 goals and Birmingham City 1.30. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.03 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.33 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Derby County v Birmingham City | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 14.1% | 7.09 |
| 0–1 | 10.1% | 9.92 |
| 0–0 | 9.9% | 10.13 |
| 1–0 | 8.7% | 11.47 |
| 1–2 | 8.4% | 11.90 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County or draw | 61% | 1.64 |
| Birmingham City or draw | 69% | 1.46 |
| Derby County or Birmingham City (no draw) | 70% | 1.42 |
| Derby County, draw no bet | 45% | 2.24 |
| Birmingham City, draw no bet | 55% | 1.81 |
League position
Derby County22of 24, 4 points from 6 games
Birmingham City14of 24, 7 points from 6 games
In the table, Derby County are in position 22 of 24 with 4 points, and Birmingham City in position 14 with 7.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Derby County vs Birmingham City played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 13 meetings since 2017
6Derby County
4Draws
3Birmingham City
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Derby County vs Birmingham City?
Birmingham City won 2–1 away at Derby County (Championship, Sat 12 Sept, 13:30 UK time).
When was Derby County vs Birmingham City played?
Championship, kick-off Sat 12 Sept, 13:30 UK time.
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