Derby County v Bolton WanderersChampionship · Fri 6 Nov, 20:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers: result and prediction
ChampionshipFriday 6 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK timeDerby County
- Nyambe 46'
- Robinson 49'
- Brewster 90'+4'
3–1
Full timeHalf time 0–1Bolton Wanderers
- Rodrigues 42'
Venue Pride ParkReferee J BellAttendance 27,536
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser42'
Ruben Rodrigues0–1 · Gaizka Larrazabal
Half time0–1
46'
Ryan Nyambe1–1 · Mohammed Fuseini
49'
Jack Robinson2–1 · Carlton Morris
62'
Luca StephensonYellow card
90'+4'
90'+4'
Rhian BrewsterYellow card
90'+5'
Gaizka LarrazabalYellow card
Full time3–1
Key stats
Who will win Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers?
Championship, Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Derby County 3-1 Bolton Wanderers.
Full time: Derby County 3-1 Bolton Wanderers. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Derby County to score 1.79 goals and Bolton Wanderers 1.35. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | 2.64 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.60 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Derby County v Bolton Wanderers | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.8% | 9.30 |
| 2–1 | 9.4% | 10.68 |
| 1–0 | 7.4% | 13.50 |
| 1–2 | 7.1% | 14.14 |
| 2–0 | 6.9% | 14.47 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County or draw | 65% | 1.55 |
| Bolton Wanderers or draw | 62% | 1.60 |
| Derby County or Bolton Wanderers (no draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| Derby County, draw no bet | 52% | 1.94 |
| Bolton Wanderers, draw no bet | 48% | 2.06 |
League position
Derby County23of 24, 7 points from 14 games
Bolton Wanderers17of 24, 17 points from 14 games
In the table, Derby County are in position 23 of 24 with 7 points, and Bolton Wanderers in position 17 with 17.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Derby County
Jacob Widell ZetterströmGDion SandersonCD-LShane DuffyCD-RJack RobinsonLBRyan NyambeRBBobby ClarkAMDavid OzohLMLewis TravisRMCarlton MorrisFMohammed FuseiniAM-LRhian BrewsterAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
70'
Kyliane DongOn for Thierry Gale
71'
Atsuki ItoOn for Luca Stephenson
71'
Samuel Iling-JuniorOn for Xavier Simons
73'
Alex MowattOn for Lewis Travis
82'
Thelonius BairOn for Akin Famewo
90'+2'
Max LottOn for Ruben Rodrigues
90'+3'
Lars Jorgen SalvesenOn for Carlton Morris
90'+3'
Oscar FrauloOn for Mohammed Fuseini
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 9 meetings since 2017
6Derby County
1Draws
2Bolton Wanderers
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers?
Derby County won 3–1 against Bolton Wanderers (Championship, Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Derby County.
When was Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers played?
Championship, kick-off Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 UK time.
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