Derby County v Stoke CityChampionship · Sat 17 Oct, 16:00
Full time 0-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Derby County vs Stoke City: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Derby County vs Stoke City?
Championship, Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 (UK time). Full time: Derby County 0-1 Stoke City.
Full time: Derby County 0-1 Stoke City. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Derby County to score 1.33 goals and Stoke City 1.14. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.22 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Derby County v Stoke City | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.6% | 7.36 |
| 1–0 | 10.4% | 9.58 |
| 0–0 | 9.2% | 10.87 |
| 0–1 | 8.9% | 11.27 |
| 2–1 | 8.5% | 11.74 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County or draw | 69% | 1.45 |
| Stoke City or draw | 60% | 1.67 |
| Derby County or Stoke City (no draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| Derby County, draw no bet | 56% | 1.78 |
| Stoke City, draw no bet | 44% | 2.29 |
League position
Derby County23of 24, 6 points from 10 games
Stoke City9of 24, 16 points from 10 games
In the table, Derby County are in position 23 of 24 with 6 points, and Stoke City in position 9 with 16.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Derby County vs Stoke City played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Derby County
Josh VickersGDion SandersonCD-LRyan NyambeCD-RRyan HedgesLBJoe WardRBBobby ClarkAMLewis TravisLMDavid OzohRMCarlton MorrisFSammie SzmodicsAM-LMohammed FuseiniAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
38'
Luca BombinoOn for Eric Bocat
45'
George HirstOn for Jack McGlynn
52'
Rhian BrewsterOn for Lewis Travis
68'
Maksym TaloverovOn for Bosun Lawal
68'
Róbert BozeníkOn for Lamine Cisse
73'
Henrik MeisterOn for Mohammed Fuseini
87'
Corey TaylorOn for Bobby Clark
87'
Filip BilbijaOn for Ryan Hedges
87'
Lars Jorgen SalvesenOn for Sammie Szmodics
87'
Junior TchamadeuOn for Justin Devenny
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 13 meetings since 2018
4Derby County
4Draws
5Stoke City
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Derby County vs Stoke City?
Stoke City won 1–0 away at Derby County (Championship, Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 UK time).
When was Derby County vs Stoke City played?
Championship, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 UK time.
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