These were our chances before kick-off.
Derby County vs Wrexham: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Derby County vs Wrexham?
Championship, Sat 10 Oct, 16:00 (UK time). Full time: Derby County 1-1 Wrexham.
Full time: Derby County 1-1 Wrexham. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Derby County to score 1.37 goals and Wrexham 1.20. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.87 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Derby County v Wrexham | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.5% | 7.42 |
| 1–0 | 9.6% | 10.47 |
| 2–1 | 8.6% | 11.61 |
| 0–0 | 8.5% | 11.72 |
| 0–1 | 8.3% | 12.08 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County or draw | 68% | 1.47 |
| Wrexham or draw | 60% | 1.66 |
| Derby County or Wrexham (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Derby County, draw no bet | 55% | 1.80 |
| Wrexham, draw no bet | 45% | 2.24 |
League position
In the table, Derby County are in position 22 of 24 with 5 points, and Wrexham in position 14 with 10.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Derby County vs Wrexham played out
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Substitutions
Form
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Common questions
Who won Derby County vs Wrexham?
Nobody: Derby County and Wrexham drew 1–1 (Championship, Sat 10 Oct, 16:00 UK time).
When was Derby County vs Wrexham played?
Championship, kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 16:00 UK time.