These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Burnley, lost.
Lincoln City vs Burnley: result and prediction
- House 45'+3'
- Ladefoged 49'
- Jefferies 57'
- Ladefoged 67'
- Hountondji 39'
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Lincoln City vs Burnley?
Championship, Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 (UK time). Full time: Lincoln City 4-1 Burnley.
Full time: Lincoln City 4-1 Burnley. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Lincoln City to score 0.95 goals and Burnley 1.81. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.94 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.34 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Lincoln City v Burnley | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | 11.3% | 8.89 |
| 1–1 | 11.1% | 9.02 |
| 0–2 | 10.3% | 9.67 |
| 1–2 | 9.9% | 10.15 |
| 0–0 | 6.5% | 15.34 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln City or draw | 53% | 1.87 |
| Burnley or draw | 73% | 1.37 |
| Lincoln City or Burnley (no draw) | 73% | 1.36 |
| Lincoln City, draw no bet | 37% | 2.73 |
| Burnley, draw no bet | 63% | 1.58 |
League position
In the table, Lincoln City are in position 19 of 24 with 12 points, and Burnley in position 22 with 8.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Lincoln City vs Burnley played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Substitutions
Form
Head to head
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Next up: Lincoln City vs Wrexham
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
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Common questions
Who won Lincoln City vs Burnley?
Lincoln City won 4–1 against Burnley (Championship, Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 UK time).
When was Lincoln City vs Burnley played?
Championship, kick-off Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 UK time.