These were our chances before kick-off.
Millwall vs Swansea City: result and prediction
What happened
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Who will win Millwall vs Swansea City?
Championship, Tue 13 Oct, 20:45 (UK time). Full time: Millwall 0-1 Swansea City.
Full time: Millwall 0-1 Swansea City. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Millwall to score 1.42 goals and Swansea City 1.09. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.96 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 4.08 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Millwall v Swansea City | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.3% | 7.51 |
| 1–0 | 10.8% | 9.27 |
| 2–1 | 9.0% | 11.17 |
| 0–0 | 8.9% | 11.29 |
| 2–0 | 8.2% | 12.17 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall or draw | 72% | 1.39 |
| Swansea City or draw | 56% | 1.78 |
| Millwall or Swansea City (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Millwall, draw no bet | 61% | 1.64 |
| Swansea City, draw no bet | 39% | 2.57 |
League position
In the table, Millwall are in position 9 of 24 with 14 points, and Swansea City in position 1 with 20.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Millwall vs Swansea City played out
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Form
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Common questions
Who won Millwall vs Swansea City?
Swansea City won 1–0 away at Millwall (Championship, Tue 13 Oct, 20:45 UK time).
When was Millwall vs Swansea City played?
Championship, kick-off Tue 13 Oct, 20:45 UK time.