These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Portsmouth, lost.
Portsmouth vs Stoke City: result and prediction
What happened
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Who will win Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
Championship, Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 (UK time). Full time: Portsmouth 1-2 Stoke City.
Full time: Portsmouth 1-2 Stoke City. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Portsmouth to score 1.29 goals and Stoke City 0.99. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | 2.18 |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.51 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 5.09 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Portsmouth v Stoke City | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.5% | 7.43 |
| 1–0 | 12.8% | 7.82 |
| 0–0 | 10.6% | 9.41 |
| 0–1 | 9.8% | 10.22 |
| 2–0 | 8.5% | 11.81 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth or draw | 69% | 1.46 |
| Stoke City or draw | 59% | 1.68 |
| Portsmouth or Stoke City (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Portsmouth, draw no bet | 56% | 1.77 |
| Stoke City, draw no bet | 44% | 2.29 |
League position
In the table, Portsmouth are in position 10 of 24 with 22 points, and Stoke City in position 5 with 26.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
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How Portsmouth vs Stoke City played out
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Substitutions
Form
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Sat 21 Nov, 15:00. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
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Common questions
Who won Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
Stoke City won 2–1 away at Portsmouth (Championship, Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 UK time).
When was Portsmouth vs Stoke City played?
Championship, kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 UK time.