Queens Park Rangers v Derby CountyChampionship · Wed 14 Oct, 20:45
Full time 4-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County: result and prediction
ChampionshipWednesday 14 Oct 2026Queens Park Rangers
- Lloyd 18'
- Madsen 22' (pen)
- Vale 45'
- Smyth 68'
4–1
Full timeHalf time 3–0Derby County
- Jorgen Salvesen 90'+10'
Venue MATRADE Loftus RoadReferee M Corlett
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser18'
Alfie LloydBoy Kemper
22'
Nicolas MadsenPenalty
24'
David OzohYellow card
44'
Sammie SzmodicsYellow card
45'
Half time3–0
56'
Henrik MeisterYellow card
57'
Harvey ValeYellow card
60'
Glen KamaraYellow card
68'
Paul SmythNicolas Madsen
90'+10'
Full time4–1
Key stats
Who will win Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County?
Championship, Wed 14 Oct, 20:45 (UK time). Full time: Queens Park Rangers 4-1 Derby County.
Full time: Queens Park Rangers 4-1 Derby County. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Queens Park Rangers to score 1.58 goals and Derby County 1.03. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.76 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Queens Park Rangers v Derby County | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.7% | 7.87 |
| 1–0 | 10.9% | 9.20 |
| 2–1 | 9.4% | 10.59 |
| 2–0 | 9.1% | 10.95 |
| 0–0 | 8.1% | 12.38 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Queens Park Rangers or draw | 76% | 1.32 |
| Derby County or draw | 51% | 1.97 |
| Queens Park Rangers or Derby County (no draw) | 73% | 1.36 |
| Queens Park Rangers, draw no bet | 67% | 1.49 |
| Derby County, draw no bet | 33% | 3.04 |
League position
Queens Park Rangers9of 24, 14 points from 9 games
Derby County23of 24, 6 points from 9 games
In the table, Queens Park Rangers are in position 9 of 24 with 14 points, and Derby County in position 23 with 6.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Queens Park Rangers
Pierce CharlesGRonnie EdwardsCD-LJimmy DunneCD-RBoy KemperLBKealey AdamsonRBHarvey ValeAMGlen KamaraLMNicolas MadsenRMRayan KolliFAlfie LloydAM-LPaul SmythAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
12'
Ryan NyambeOn for Sondre Langas
45'
Lewis TravisOn for David Ozoh
45'
Henrik MeisterOn for Mohammed Fuseini
62'
Richard KoneOn for Rayan Kolli
62'
Jonathan VaraneOn for Alfie Lloyd
62'
Kwame PokuOn for Harvey Vale
63'
Lars Jorgen SalvesenOn for Carlton Morris
70'
Filip BilbijaOn for Sammie Szmodics
72'
Amadou Salif MbengueOn for Boy Kemper
77'
Leon ScarlettOn for Paul Smyth
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 15 meetings since 2017
6Queens Park Rangers
3Draws
6Derby County
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County?
Queens Park Rangers won 4–1 against Derby County (Championship, Wed 14 Oct, 20:45 UK time).
When was Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County played?
Championship, kick-off Wed 14 Oct, 20:45 UK time.
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