These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Sheffield United, lost.
Sheffield United vs Derby County: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Sheffield United vs Derby County?
Championship, Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 (UK time). Full time: Sheffield United 1-1 Derby County.
Full time: Sheffield United 1-1 Derby County. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Sheffield United to score 1.58 goals and Derby County 1.08. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.59 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Sheffield United v Derby County | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.1% | 8.24 |
| 1–0 | 10.8% | 9.27 |
| 2–1 | 9.4% | 10.60 |
| 2–0 | 8.7% | 11.49 |
| 0–1 | 7.3% | 13.64 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United or draw | 81% | 1.24 |
| Derby County or draw | 44% | 2.26 |
| Sheffield United or Derby County (no draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| Sheffield United, draw no bet | 74% | 1.35 |
| Derby County, draw no bet | 26% | 3.86 |
League position
In the table, Sheffield United are in position 11 of 24 with 15 points, and Derby County in position 23 with 6.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Sheffield United vs Derby County played out
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Next up: Southampton vs Derby County
Sat 21 Nov, 12:30. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
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Common questions
Who won Sheffield United vs Derby County?
Nobody: Sheffield United and Derby County drew 1–1 (Championship, Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 UK time).
When was Sheffield United vs Derby County played?
Championship, kick-off Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 UK time.