Championship, Sat 21 Nov, 12:30 (UK time). Our football model has priced every outcome of this match. Unlock the prediction to see who it backs.
Our prediction comes from a football model fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. In the app, our AI adds the full research: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market.
Our model prices both teams to score and every goal line for Southampton vs Derby County (over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5) from one grid of every possible score, plus the goals it expects each side to score. The chances and fair odds unlock in the app.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | In the app | In the app |
| Both teams to score: no | In the app | In the app |
| Over 1.5 goals | In the app | In the app |
| Over 2.5 goals | In the app | In the app |
| Under 2.5 goals | In the app | In the app |
| Over 3.5 goals | In the app | In the app |
The five likeliest scores for Southampton vs Derby County, each with its chance and fair odds, unlock in the app with the rest of the prediction.
| Southampton v Derby County | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Likeliest score 1 | In the app | In the app |
| Likeliest score 2 | In the app | In the app |
| Likeliest score 3 | In the app | In the app |
| Likeliest score 4 | In the app | In the app |
| Likeliest score 5 | In the app | In the app |
Southampton or draw, Derby County or draw and draw no bet all follow from our win, draw and loss chances, so they unlock with the prediction, fair odds included.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton or draw | In the app | In the app |
| Derby County or draw | In the app | In the app |
| Southampton or Derby County (no draw) | In the app | In the app |
| Southampton, draw no bet | In the app | In the app |
| Derby County, draw no bet | In the app | In the app |
In the table, Southampton are in position 4 of 24 with 28 points, and Derby County in position 23 with 10.
The full prediction for Southampton vs Derby County: who wins and how likely, both teams to score, over 2.5 goals, the likeliest score and the fair odds of each. Then the call: the side we back, the best price across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge in points and every source the research read.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Run thirteen passes of research on it in the app: who to back, the price worth taking and why, before the start.
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Our football model has priced Southampton vs Derby County: the chance of a Southampton win, a draw and a Derby County win, from four seasons of results. The prediction is in the BAI8 app.
Our model prices both teams to score and over 2.5 goals for Southampton vs Derby County from one grid of every possible score. Those chances unlock in the BAI8 app.
Our model ranks the five likeliest scores for Southampton vs Derby County, each with its chance and fair odds. They unlock in the BAI8 app.
Fair odds are what our chances are worth as a price, so they come with the prediction in the BAI8 app, beside the best price across more than seventy bookmakers. A bookmaker paying more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
Championship, kick-off Sat 21 Nov, 12:30 UK time.
