Southampton v PortsmouthChampionship · Sun 11 Oct, 12:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Southampton vs Portsmouth: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser20'
James Bree1–0 · Finn Azaz
32'
Cameron BraggYellow card
34'
Ebrima AdamsYellow card
44'
Cameron BraggRed card
Half time1–0
51'
Cyle LarinYellow card
53'
Finn AzazYellow card
53'
Jayden MeghomaYellow card
69'
Terry DevlinYellow card
82'
Keven SchlotterbeckYellow card
Full time1–0
Key stats
Who will win Southampton vs Portsmouth?
Championship, Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 (UK time). Full time: Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth.
Full time: Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Southampton to score 2.14 goals and Portsmouth 0.98. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.64 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Southampton v Portsmouth | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 10.1% | 9.88 |
| 1–1 | 9.9% | 10.06 |
| 2–1 | 9.9% | 10.09 |
| 1–0 | 8.8% | 11.35 |
| 3–0 | 7.2% | 13.87 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton or draw | 71% | 1.40 |
| Portsmouth or draw | 54% | 1.87 |
| Southampton or Portsmouth (no draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| Southampton, draw no bet | 62% | 1.61 |
| Portsmouth, draw no bet | 38% | 2.63 |
League position
Southampton5of 24, 14 points from 8 games
Portsmouth19of 24, 8 points from 7 games
In the table, Southampton are in position 5 of 24 with 14 points, and Portsmouth in position 19 with 8.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Southampton vs Portsmouth played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Southampton
Daniel PeretzGKeven SchlotterbeckCD-LJack StephensCD-RRyan ManningLBJames BreeRBFlynn DownesCM-LCameron BraggCM-RLéo ScienzaLMJames Ward-ProwseRMFinn AzazCF-LCyle LarinCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Adrian SegecicOn for Ryan Kavuma-Mcqueen
57'
Kuryu MatsukiOn for Léo Scienza
65'
Odin BaileyOn for Ebrima Adams
65'
Terry DevlinOn for Jayden Meghoma
65'
Marko MilovanovicOn for Colby Bishop
72'
Caspar JanderOn for Cyle Larin
77'
Keshi AndersonOn for Zak Swanson
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 3 meetings since 2025
1Southampton
2Draws
0Portsmouth
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Southampton vs Portsmouth?
Southampton won 1–0 against Portsmouth (Championship, Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Southampton vs Portsmouth?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Southampton.
When was Southampton vs Portsmouth played?
Championship, kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 UK time.
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