These were our chances before kick-off.
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough: result and prediction
- Borges 50' (og)
- Bozeník 85'
- Brittain 48'
- Lankshear 73'
- Borges 90'+1'
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?
Championship, Tue 13 Oct, 21:00 (UK time). Full time: Stoke City 2-3 Middlesbrough.
Full time: Stoke City 2-3 Middlesbrough. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Stoke City to score 1.10 goals and Middlesbrough 1.60. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.17 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.02 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.51 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Stoke City v Middlesbrough | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.6% | 7.96 |
| 0–1 | 10.0% | 9.96 |
| 1–2 | 9.5% | 10.58 |
| 0–2 | 8.6% | 11.66 |
| 0–0 | 7.5% | 13.42 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke City or draw | 52% | 1.93 |
| Middlesbrough or draw | 74% | 1.34 |
| Stoke City or Middlesbrough (no draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| Stoke City, draw no bet | 35% | 2.88 |
| Middlesbrough, draw no bet | 65% | 1.53 |
League position
In the table, Stoke City are in position 6 of 24 with 16 points, and Middlesbrough in position 2 with 18.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Stoke City vs Middlesbrough played out
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Substitutions
Form
Head to head
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Common questions
Who won Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?
Middlesbrough won 3–2 away at Stoke City (Championship, Tue 13 Oct, 21:00 UK time).
When was Stoke City vs Middlesbrough played?
Championship, kick-off Tue 13 Oct, 21:00 UK time.