Watford v BurnleyChampionship · Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Watford vs Burnley: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser13'
Jacob Bruun Larsen0–1 · Reo Hatate
19'
Zeki Amdouni0–2
25'
Reo Hatate0–3 · Lucas Pires
Half time0–3
87'
Marcus Edwards0–4 · Lucas Pires
Full time0–4
Key stats
Who will win Watford vs Burnley?
Championship, Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 (UK time). Full time: Watford 0-4 Burnley.
Full time: Watford 0-4 Burnley. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Watford to score 1.22 goals and Burnley 1.32. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.87 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 4.01 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Watford v Burnley | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.6% | 7.34 |
| 0–1 | 9.6% | 10.47 |
| 0–0 | 8.9% | 11.30 |
| 1–0 | 8.7% | 11.44 |
| 1–2 | 8.4% | 11.93 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Watford or draw | 63% | 1.59 |
| Burnley or draw | 65% | 1.53 |
| Watford or Burnley (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Watford, draw no bet | 48% | 2.07 |
| Burnley, draw no bet | 52% | 1.93 |
League position
Watford20of 24, 8 points from 8 games
Burnley24of 24, 4 points from 8 games
In the table, Watford are in position 20 of 24 with 8 points, and Burnley in position 24 with 4.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Watford vs Burnley played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Watford
Federico RavagliaGBranimir MlacicCD-LMatthew PollockCD-RSoumaila CoulibalyLBOmar-Haktab TraoréRBIker BravoAMHector KyprianouLMEdo KayembeRMLuca KjerrumgaardFAmin NabizadaAM-LMamadou DoumbiaAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
35'
Othmane MaammaOn for Iker Bravo
45'
Jordan ZemuraOn for Soumaila Coulibaly
45'
Martín PayeroOn for Luca Kjerrumgaard
60'
Myron BoaduOn for Amin Nabizada
62'
Marcus EdwardsOn for Zeki Amdouni
63'
Jamie VardyOn for Largie Ramazani
69'
Rocco VataOn for Mamadou Doumbia
74'
Dastan SatpaevOn for Jacob Bruun Larsen
84'
Armando BrojaOn for Max Alleyne
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 13 meetings since 2017
2Watford
3Draws
8Burnley
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Watford vs Burnley?
Burnley won 4–0 away at Watford (Championship, Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Watford vs Burnley?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Burnley.
When was Watford vs Burnley played?
Championship, kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
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