West Ham United v Derby CountyChampionship · Sat 5 Sept, 16:00
Full time 3-0These were our chances before kick-off.
West Ham United vs Derby County: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win West Ham United vs Derby County?
Championship, Sat 5 Sept, 16:00 (UK time). Full time: West Ham United 3-0 Derby County.
Full time: West Ham United 3-0 Derby County. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects West Ham United to score 1.76 goals and Derby County 1.08. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.25 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.16 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| West Ham United v Derby County | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.1% | 8.30 |
| 2–1 | 9.8% | 10.24 |
| 1–0 | 9.4% | 10.66 |
| 2–0 | 9.0% | 11.06 |
| 0–0 | 6.8% | 14.73 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| West Ham United or draw | 78% | 1.29 |
| Derby County or draw | 48% | 2.10 |
| West Ham United or Derby County (no draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| West Ham United, draw no bet | 70% | 1.43 |
| Derby County, draw no bet | 30% | 3.34 |
League position
West Ham United14of 24, 5 points from 4 games
Derby County19of 24, 4 points from 4 games
In the table, West Ham United are in position 14 of 24 with 5 points, and Derby County in position 19 with 4.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How West Ham United vs Derby County played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 1 meeting since 2026
1West Ham
0Draws
0Derby County
Last meetings
West Ham UnitedDerby County305 Sept2026Full timeAssessed
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Common questions
Who won West Ham United vs Derby County?
West Ham United won 3–0 against Derby County (Championship, Sat 5 Sept, 16:00 UK time).
When was West Ham United vs Derby County played?
Championship, kick-off Sat 5 Sept, 16:00 UK time.
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