These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: PSV Eindhoven, lost.
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
Eredivisie, Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 (UK time). Full time: ADO Den Haag 2-1 PSV Eindhoven.
Full time: ADO Den Haag 2-1 PSV Eindhoven. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects ADO Den Haag to score 0.82 goals and PSV Eindhoven 3.97. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 96% | 1.05 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 14% | 6.95 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| ADO Den Haag v PSV Eindhoven | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–3 | 8.7% | 11.48 |
| 0–4 | 8.7% | 11.56 |
| 1–3 | 7.1% | 14.08 |
| 1–4 | 7.1% | 14.18 |
| 0–5 | 6.9% | 14.56 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag or draw | 41% | 2.43 |
| PSV Eindhoven or draw | 74% | 1.35 |
| ADO Den Haag or PSV Eindhoven (no draw) | 84% | 1.18 |
| ADO Den Haag, draw no bet | 30% | 3.29 |
| PSV Eindhoven, draw no bet | 70% | 1.44 |
League position
In the table, ADO Den Haag are in position 17 of 18 with 3 points, and PSV Eindhoven in position 2 with 19.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
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How ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven played out
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Form
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Next up: NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven
Sat 21 Nov, 15:30. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
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Common questions
Who won ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
ADO Den Haag won 2–1 against PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie, Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 UK time).
When was ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven played?
Eredivisie, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 UK time.