Ajax v AZ AlkmaarEredivisie · Sat 31 Oct, 20:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?
Eredivisie, Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Ajax 1-0 AZ Alkmaar.
Full time: Ajax 1-0 AZ Alkmaar. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Ajax to score 1.71 goals and AZ Alkmaar 1.40. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | 2.71 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.51 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.64 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Ajax v AZ Alkmaar | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.0% | 8.31 |
| 2–1 | 9.1% | 10.95 |
| 1–2 | 7.5% | 13.37 |
| 2–0 | 6.5% | 15.36 |
| 2–2 | 6.4% | 15.63 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax or draw | 74% | 1.36 |
| AZ Alkmaar or draw | 50% | 2.02 |
| Ajax or AZ Alkmaar (no draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| Ajax, draw no bet | 66% | 1.52 |
| AZ Alkmaar, draw no bet | 34% | 2.92 |
League position
Ajax3of 18, 21 points from 10 games
AZ Alkmaar5of 18, 20 points from 10 games
In the table, Ajax are in position 3 of 18 with 21 points, and AZ Alkmaar in position 5 with 20.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
6Ajax
4Draws
9AZ Alkmaar
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?
Ajax won 1–0 against AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie, Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Ajax.
When was Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar played?
Eredivisie, kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 UK time.
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