Ajax v NEC NijmegenEredivisie · Sat 10 Oct, 21:00
Full time 1-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?
Eredivisie, Sat 10 Oct, 21:00 (UK time). Full time: Ajax 1-1 NEC Nijmegen.
Full time: Ajax 1-1 NEC Nijmegen. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Ajax to score 2.10 goals and NEC Nijmegen 1.34. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | 2.94 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.02 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Ajax v NEC Nijmegen | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.2% | 9.81 |
| 2–1 | 9.5% | 10.56 |
| 2–0 | 7.0% | 14.20 |
| 3–1 | 6.6% | 15.11 |
| 2–2 | 6.4% | 15.72 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax or draw | 77% | 1.30 |
| NEC Nijmegen or draw | 46% | 2.16 |
| Ajax or NEC Nijmegen (no draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| Ajax, draw no bet | 70% | 1.43 |
| NEC Nijmegen, draw no bet | 30% | 3.33 |
League position
Ajax5of 18, 14 points from 7 games
NEC Nijmegen11of 18, 8 points from 7 games
In the table, Ajax are in position 5 of 18 with 14 points, and NEC Nijmegen in position 11 with 8.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 11 meetings since 2021
5Ajax
5Draws
1NEC Nijmegen
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?
Nobody: Ajax and NEC Nijmegen drew 1–1 (Eredivisie, Sat 10 Oct, 21:00 UK time).
When was Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen played?
Eredivisie, kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 21:00 UK time.
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