Ajax v Willem IIEredivisie · Tue 15 Sept, 20:00
Full time 5-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Ajax vs Willem II: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Ajax vs Willem II?
Eredivisie, Tue 15 Sept, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Ajax 5-1 Willem II.
Full time: Ajax 5-1 Willem II. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Ajax to score 3.03 goals and Willem II 0.70. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.05 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.95 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28% | 3.58 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Ajax v Willem II | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 3–0 | 11.1% | 9.03 |
| 2–0 | 11.0% | 9.13 |
| 4–0 | 8.4% | 11.90 |
| 3–1 | 7.8% | 12.82 |
| 2–1 | 7.7% | 12.97 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax or draw | 95% | 1.05 |
| Willem II or draw | 17% | 5.80 |
| Ajax or Willem II (no draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| Ajax, draw no bet | 94% | 1.06 |
| Willem II, draw no bet | 6% | 17.69 |
League position
Ajax5of 18, 10 points from 5 games
Willem II17of 18, 2 points from 5 games
In the table, Ajax are in position 5 of 18 with 10 points, and Willem II in position 17 with 2.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Ajax vs Willem II played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 12 meetings since 2017
10Ajax
1Draws
1Willem II
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Ajax vs Willem II?
Ajax won 5–1 against Willem II (Eredivisie, Tue 15 Sept, 20:00 UK time).
When was Ajax vs Willem II played?
Eredivisie, kick-off Tue 15 Sept, 20:00 UK time.
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