AZ Alkmaar v FC GroningenEredivisie · Sun 8 Nov, 15:45
Full time 4-3These were our chances before kick-off.
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen: result and prediction
EredivisieSunday 8 Nov 2026, 15:45 UK timeAZ Alkmaar
- Meerdink 9'
- Oufkir 61'
- Chávez 76'
- Meerdink 90'+1' (pen)
4–3
Full timeHalf time 1–1FC Groningen
- Ondrejka 2'
- Willumsson 47'
- Van Bergen 54'
Venue AFAS Stadion
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser9'
Mexx MeerdinkRo-Zangelo Daal
Half time1–1
47'
Brynjólfur WillumssonJacob Ondrejka
58'
Marco RenteYellow card
59'
Mexx MeerdinkPenalty - Missed
61'
Pelle ClementYellow card
61'
Ayoub OufkirMexx Meerdink
76'
85'
Etienne VaessenYellow card
88'
Etienne VaessenRed card
90'+1'
Mexx MeerdinkPenalty
90'+5'
Peer KoopmeinersYellow card
90'+10'
Hans HateboerRed card
Full time4–3
Key stats
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen?
Eredivisie, Sun 8 Nov, 15:45 (UK time). Full time: AZ Alkmaar 4-3 FC Groningen.
Full time: AZ Alkmaar 4-3 FC Groningen. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects AZ Alkmaar to score 1.97 goals and FC Groningen 1.25. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | 2.65 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| AZ Alkmaar v FC Groningen | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.7% | 9.37 |
| 2–1 | 9.7% | 10.31 |
| 2–0 | 7.8% | 12.87 |
| 1–0 | 7.0% | 14.22 |
| 3–1 | 6.4% | 15.67 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar or draw | 77% | 1.30 |
| FC Groningen or draw | 47% | 2.15 |
| AZ Alkmaar or FC Groningen (no draw) | 77% | 1.31 |
| AZ Alkmaar, draw no bet | 70% | 1.43 |
| FC Groningen, draw no bet | 30% | 3.31 |
League position
AZ Alkmaar6of 18, 20 points from 11 games
FC Groningen9of 18, 15 points from 11 games
In the table, AZ Alkmaar are in position 6 of 18 with 20 points, and FC Groningen in position 9 with 15.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
AZ Alkmaar
Jari De BusserGWesley HoedtCD-LWouter GoesCD-RMateo ChávezLBElijah DijkstraRBValdemar ByskovAMPeer KoopmeinersLMDave KwakmanRMMexx MeerdinkFRo-Zangelo DaalAM-LAyoub OufkirAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
60'
Kees SmitOn for Valdemar Byskov
60'
Jordy ClasieOn for Wouter Goes
73'
Wouter PrinsOn for Márk Csinger
73'
Tygo LandOn for Jacob Ondrejka
79'
Tyrique MerceraOn for Jorg Schreuders
84'
Calvin StengsOn for Ro-Zangelo Daal
84'
Denso KasiusOn for Elijah Dijkstra
90'
Lovro ŠtubljarOn for Tika De Jonge
90'
Nils EggensOn for Brynjólfur Willumsson
90'+6'
Mees De WitOn for Mateo Chávez
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 16 meetings since 2017
9AZ Alkmaar
4Draws
3FC Groningen
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen?
AZ Alkmaar won 4–3 against FC Groningen (Eredivisie, Sun 8 Nov, 15:45 UK time).
When was AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen played?
Eredivisie, kick-off Sun 8 Nov, 15:45 UK time.
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