These were our chances before kick-off.
Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?
Eredivisie, Sat 15 Aug, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Excelsior 1-2 PSV Eindhoven.
Full time: Excelsior 1-2 PSV Eindhoven. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Excelsior to score 1.23 goals and PSV Eindhoven 2.42. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | 2.89 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.41 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–2 | 9.4% | 10.70 |
| 1–1 | 8.6% | 11.63 |
| 0–2 | 7.6% | 13.18 |
| 1–3 | 7.6% | 13.25 |
| 0–3 | 6.1% | 16.31 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Excelsior or draw | 37% | 2.68 |
| PSV Eindhoven or draw | 83% | 1.21 |
| Excelsior or PSV Eindhoven (no draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| Excelsior, draw no bet | 21% | 4.66 |
| PSV Eindhoven, draw no bet | 79% | 1.27 |
League position
In the table, Excelsior are in position 2 of 18 with 3 points, and PSV Eindhoven in position 12 with 1.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven played out
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Common questions
Who won Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven won 2–1 away at Excelsior (Eredivisie, Sat 15 Aug, 20:00 UK time).
When was Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven played?
Eredivisie, kick-off Sat 15 Aug, 20:00 UK time.