FC Utrecht v Willem IIEredivisie · Sun 11 Oct, 12:15
Full time 3-1These were our chances before kick-off.
FC Utrecht vs Willem II: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser45'
Yoann CathlineYellow card
Half time0–0
53'
Yoann Cathline1–0 · Dani de Wit
60'
Jaden Slory1–1 · Vito van Crooij
75'
Yoann Cathline2–1 · Oualid Agougil
80'
Nikolas PanagiotouYellow card
90'+2'
Ángel Alarcón3–1 · Adrian Blake
Full time3–1
Key stats
Who will win FC Utrecht vs Willem II?
Eredivisie, Sun 11 Oct, 12:15 (UK time). Full time: FC Utrecht 3-1 Willem II.
Full time: FC Utrecht 3-1 Willem II. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects FC Utrecht to score 2.61 goals and Willem II 0.93. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | 2.32 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.19 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| FC Utrecht v Willem II | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 9.9% | 10.09 |
| 2–1 | 9.2% | 10.88 |
| 3–0 | 8.6% | 11.60 |
| 3–1 | 8.0% | 12.50 |
| 1–1 | 8.0% | 12.58 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Utrecht or draw | 90% | 1.11 |
| Willem II or draw | 28% | 3.64 |
| FC Utrecht or Willem II (no draw) | 83% | 1.21 |
| FC Utrecht, draw no bet | 88% | 1.14 |
| Willem II, draw no bet | 12% | 8.16 |
League position
FC Utrecht15of 18, 5 points from 7 games
Willem II18of 18, 2 points from 7 games
In the table, FC Utrecht are in position 15 of 18 with 5 points, and Willem II in position 18 with 2.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How FC Utrecht vs Willem II played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
FC Utrecht
Vasilios BarkasGMatisse DiddenCDNikolas PanagiotouCD-LSiebe HoremansCD-ROualid AgougilCM-LJoris van OvereemCM-RArthur ZagreLMNiklas VesterlundRMDani de WitFYoann CathlineCF-LMarius BroholmCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
68'
Per KloosterboerOn for Arthur Zagre
68'
Ángel AlarcónOn for Niklas Vesterlund
72'
Eser GürbüzOn for Jaden Slory
72'
Anass ZarroukOn for Tonny Vilhena
81'
Thomas VerheydtOn for Vito van Crooij
81'
Alessandro CiranniOn for Nathan Tjoe-A-On
82'
Adrian BlakeOn for Marius Broholm
82'
Davy van den BergOn for Oualid Agougil
87'
Chido ObiOn for Uriel Van Aalst
90'+3'
Sem van DuijnOn for Yoann Cathline
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 13 meetings since 2017
9FC Utrecht
1Draws
3Willem II
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won FC Utrecht vs Willem II?
FC Utrecht won 3–1 against Willem II (Eredivisie, Sun 11 Oct, 12:15 UK time).
When was FC Utrecht vs Willem II played?
Eredivisie, kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 12:15 UK time.
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