These were our chances before kick-off.
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
Eredivisie, Sat 12 Sept, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Fortuna Sittard 1-5 Ajax.
Full time: Fortuna Sittard 1-5 Ajax. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Fortuna Sittard to score 1.16 goals and Ajax 1.96. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | 2.50 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Fortuna Sittard v Ajax | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.1% | 8.99 |
| 1–2 | 9.8% | 10.16 |
| 0–2 | 8.5% | 11.76 |
| 0–1 | 7.6% | 13.21 |
| 1–3 | 6.4% | 15.53 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard or draw | 45% | 2.22 |
| Ajax or draw | 79% | 1.27 |
| Fortuna Sittard or Ajax (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| Fortuna Sittard, draw no bet | 28% | 3.61 |
| Ajax, draw no bet | 72% | 1.38 |
League position
In the table, Fortuna Sittard are in position 6 of 18 with 10 points, and Ajax in position 9 with 7.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax played out
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Common questions
Who won Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
Ajax won 5–1 away at Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie, Sat 12 Sept, 20:00 UK time).
When was Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax played?
Eredivisie, kick-off Sat 12 Sept, 20:00 UK time.