Fortuna Sittard v ExcelsiorEredivisie · Sun 25 Oct, 11:15
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser41'
Sven SimonsYellow card
Half time0–0
58'
Shiloh ’t ZandYellow card
68'
Irakli YegoianYellow card
90'+1'
Rodrigo Guth1–0 · Mohamed Ihattaren
Full time1–0
Key stats
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
Eredivisie, Sun 25 Oct, 11:15 (UK time). Full time: Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Excelsior.
Full time: Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Excelsior. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Fortuna Sittard to score 1.55 goals and Excelsior 1.45. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | 1.62 |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | 2.61 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.84 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.6% | 7.94 |
| 2–1 | 8.7% | 11.53 |
| 1–2 | 8.1% | 12.33 |
| 0–0 | 6.4% | 15.65 |
| 1–0 | 6.4% | 15.75 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard or draw | 69% | 1.44 |
| Excelsior or draw | 55% | 1.82 |
| Fortuna Sittard or Excelsior (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| Fortuna Sittard, draw no bet | 59% | 1.68 |
| Excelsior, draw no bet | 41% | 2.47 |
League position
Fortuna Sittard7of 18, 15 points from 9 games
Excelsior12of 18, 11 points from 9 games
In the table, Fortuna Sittard are in position 7 of 18 with 15 points, and Excelsior in position 12 with 11.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Fortuna Sittard
Mattijs BranderhorstGRodrigo GuthCDJustin HubnerCD-LSyb van OtteleCD-RNick De GrootLBIvo PintoRBSven SimonsCM-LEdouard MichutCM-RKristoffer PetersonLMPhilip BrittijnRMShiloh ’t ZandF
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Ágúst ÞorsteinssonOn for Noah Naujoks
45'
Ole RomenyOn for Sven Simons
56'
David GardenOn for Nesto Groen
66'
Jasper DahlhausOn for Nick De Groot
66'
Daley SinkgravenOn for Kristoffer Peterson
76'
Alireza JahanbakhshOn for Aymen Sliti
76'
Simon JanssenOn for Kasey Bos
82'
Mohamed IhattarenOn for Philip Brittijn
86'
Iván MárquezOn for Edouard Michut
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 9 meetings since 2018
5Fortuna Sittard
2Draws
2Excelsior
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Feyenoord vs Excelsior
Sat 21 Nov, 17:45. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
Free plan: 5 assessments a month. No card.
Common questions
Who won Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
Fortuna Sittard won 1–0 against Excelsior (Eredivisie, Sun 25 Oct, 11:15 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Fortuna Sittard.
When was Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior played?
Eredivisie, kick-off Sun 25 Oct, 11:15 UK time.
More matches
Eredivisie17:45FeyenoordExcelsior11.14X7.90213.00
Eredivisie15:45Go Ahead EaglesFortuna Sittard11.63X4.2024.40
EredivisieFull timeAZ Alkmaar0FC Twente2
EredivisieFull timeNEC Nijmegen2FC Groningen2EredivisieFull timePSV Eindhoven1Feyenoord1
EredivisieFull timeSparta Rotterdam1Ajax2
UEFA Nations League17:00ArmeniaCyprus12.50X3.1622.75
UEFA Nations League17:00TurkeyBelgium13.75X4.0021.81
