These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: NEC Nijmegen, lost.
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: result and prediction
- Kers 28'
- Thór Willumsson 90'+3'
- Descotte 18'
- Descotte 48'
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Eredivisie, Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 (UK time). Full time: NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Fortuna Sittard.
Full time: NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Fortuna Sittard. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects NEC Nijmegen to score 2.12 goals and Fortuna Sittard 1.22. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | 1.59 |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | 2.70 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.34 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.3% | 9.67 |
| 2–1 | 9.7% | 10.29 |
| 2–0 | 8.0% | 12.50 |
| 3–1 | 6.9% | 14.58 |
| 1–0 | 6.4% | 15.63 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen or draw | 70% | 1.43 |
| Fortuna Sittard or draw | 54% | 1.84 |
| NEC Nijmegen or Fortuna Sittard (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| NEC Nijmegen, draw no bet | 60% | 1.66 |
| Fortuna Sittard, draw no bet | 40% | 2.52 |
League position
In the table, NEC Nijmegen are in position 11 of 18 with 9 points, and Fortuna Sittard in position 7 with 14.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard played out
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Substitutions
Form
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Next up: NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven
Sat 21 Nov, 15:30. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
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Common questions
Who won NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Nobody: NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard drew 2–2 (Eredivisie, Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 UK time).
When was NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard played?
Eredivisie, kick-off Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 UK time.