SC Heerenveen v ExcelsiorEredivisie · Fri 16 Oct, 20:00
Full time 4-0These were our chances before kick-off.
SC Heerenveen vs Excelsior: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser11'
Dylan VentePenalty
43'
Ágúst ÞorsteinssonYellow card
Half time1–0
54'
Oliver BraudeJacob Trenskow
84'
Luca OyenRingo Meerveld
Full time4–0
Key stats
Who will win SC Heerenveen vs Excelsior?
Eredivisie, Fri 16 Oct, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: SC Heerenveen 4-0 Excelsior.
Full time: SC Heerenveen 4-0 Excelsior. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects SC Heerenveen to score 1.82 goals and Excelsior 1.26. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | 2.59 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.46 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.70 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| SC Heerenveen v Excelsior | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.9% | 8.42 |
| 2–1 | 9.6% | 10.43 |
| 2–0 | 7.6% | 13.14 |
| 1–0 | 7.1% | 14.18 |
| 1–2 | 6.7% | 15.04 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| SC Heerenveen or draw | 75% | 1.34 |
| Excelsior or draw | 51% | 1.97 |
| SC Heerenveen or Excelsior (no draw) | 74% | 1.34 |
| SC Heerenveen, draw no bet | 66% | 1.51 |
| Excelsior, draw no bet | 34% | 2.95 |
League position
SC Heerenveen10of 18, 9 points from 8 games
Excelsior9of 18, 11 points from 8 games
In the table, SC Heerenveen are in position 10 of 18 with 9 points, and Excelsior in position 9 with 11.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How SC Heerenveen vs Excelsior played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
SC Heerenveen
Bernt KlaverboerGMaas WillemsenCD-LSam KerstenCD-RVasilios ZagaritisLBOliver BraudeRBLevi SmansAMNolhan CourtensLMMarcus LindayRMDylan VenteFMaxence RiveraAM-LJacob TrenskowAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Mario DominguezOn for David Garden
66'
Ilano Silva TimasOn for Ágúst Þorsteinsson
66'
Valentin SulzbacherOn for Aymen Sliti
66'
Osman TurayOn for Simon Janssen
73'
Marko FarjiOn for Maxence Rivera
77'
Noah NaujoksOn for Eric Da Silva Moreira
82'
Luca OyenOn for Nolhan Courtens
82'
Ringo MeerveldOn for Levi Smans
82'
Roberts UldrikisOn for Dylan Vente
86'
Hristiyan PetrovOn for Maas Willemsen
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 11 meetings since 2017
6SC Heerenveen
2Draws
3Excelsior
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won SC Heerenveen vs Excelsior?
SC Heerenveen won 4–0 against Excelsior (Eredivisie, Fri 16 Oct, 20:00 UK time).
When was SC Heerenveen vs Excelsior played?
Eredivisie, kick-off Fri 16 Oct, 20:00 UK time.
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