Sparta Rotterdam v AjaxEredivisie · Sun 25 Oct, 15:45
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?
Eredivisie, Sun 25 Oct, 15:45 (UK time). Full time: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax.
Full time: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Sparta Rotterdam to score 1.17 goals and Ajax 2.35. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | 2.73 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.15 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–2 | 9.6% | 10.45 |
| 1–1 | 9.2% | 10.91 |
| 0–2 | 8.2% | 12.21 |
| 1–3 | 7.5% | 13.35 |
| 0–3 | 6.4% | 15.60 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam or draw | 40% | 2.50 |
| Ajax or draw | 80% | 1.25 |
| Sparta Rotterdam or Ajax (no draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| Sparta Rotterdam, draw no bet | 25% | 4.01 |
| Ajax, draw no bet | 75% | 1.33 |
League position
Sparta Rotterdam14of 18, 9 points from 9 games
Ajax4of 18, 18 points from 9 games
In the table, Sparta Rotterdam are in position 14 of 18 with 9 points, and Ajax in position 4 with 18.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 17 meetings since 2017
0Sparta Rotterdam
3Draws
14Ajax
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?
Ajax won 2–1 away at Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie, Sun 25 Oct, 15:45 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Ajax.
When was Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax played?
Eredivisie, kick-off Sun 25 Oct, 15:45 UK time.
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