Sparta Rotterdam v Willem IIEredivisie · Sat 17 Oct, 21:00
Full time 3-2These were our chances before kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: result and prediction
EredivisieSaturday 17 Oct 2026Sparta Rotterdam
- Toornstra 39'
- Martes 50'
- Zonneveld 57'
3–2
Full timeHalf time 1–1Willem II
- Vilhena 17'
- Van Aalst 68'
Venue Sparta-Stadion Het KasteelAttendance 10,441
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser17'
39'
41'
Finn StamYellow card
Half time1–1
50'
57'
Milan Zonneveld3–1 · Jens Toornstra
68'
Uriel Van Aalst3–2 · Vito van Crooij
70'
Vito van CrooijYellow card
70'
Lushendry MartesYellow card
75'
Thomas VerheydtYellow card
78'
Alwande RoaldsøyYellow card
85'
Milan ZonneveldYellow card
88'
Bas KuipersYellow card
90'+3'
Chido ObiYellow card
Full time3–2
Key stats
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
Eredivisie, Sat 17 Oct, 21:00 (UK time). Full time: Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem II.
Full time: Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem II. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Sparta Rotterdam to score 2.21 goals and Willem II 0.99. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | 2.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Sparta Rotterdam v Willem II | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.0% | 9.96 |
| 2–0 | 10.0% | 10.04 |
| 2–1 | 9.9% | 10.14 |
| 1–0 | 7.9% | 12.66 |
| 3–0 | 7.3% | 13.62 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam or draw | 85% | 1.17 |
| Willem II or draw | 36% | 2.77 |
| Sparta Rotterdam or Willem II (no draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| Sparta Rotterdam, draw no bet | 81% | 1.23 |
| Willem II, draw no bet | 19% | 5.38 |
League position
Sparta Rotterdam14of 18, 6 points from 8 games
Willem II18of 18, 2 points from 8 games
In the table, Sparta Rotterdam are in position 14 of 18 with 6 points, and Willem II in position 18 with 2.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Sparta Rotterdam
Michael BrouwerGNick VerschurenCDBruno Martins IndiCD-LMarvin YoungCD-RBas KuipersLBLushendry MartesRBCedric HatenboerCM-LJens ToornstraCM-RIsaac BabadiLMRobin Van CruijsenRMMilan ZonneveldF
Substitutes
Substitutions
66'
Thomas VerheydtOn for Anass Zarrouk
66'
Mats LemmensOn for Tonny Vilhena
74'
Alwande RoaldsøyOn for Jens Toornstra
81'
Jari SchuurmanOn for Uriel Van Aalst
81'
Chido ObiOn for Jaden Slory
83'
Teo QuinteroOn for Cedric Hatenboer
83'
Mitchell van BergenOn for Robin Van Cruijsen
88'
Eser GürbüzOn for Maxim Dekker
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 10 meetings since 2017
7Sparta Rotterdam
1Draws
2Willem II
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: FC Twente vs Willem II
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Common questions
Who won Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
Sparta Rotterdam won 3–2 against Willem II (Eredivisie, Sat 17 Oct, 21:00 UK time).
When was Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II played?
Eredivisie, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 21:00 UK time.
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