These were our chances before kick-off.
Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
Eredivisie, Sat 15 Aug, 16:30 (UK time). Full time: Willem II 1-4 NEC Nijmegen.
Full time: Willem II 1-4 NEC Nijmegen. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Willem II to score 0.99 goals and NEC Nijmegen 2.49. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | 2.40 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.07 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Willem II v NEC Nijmegen | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | 9.6% | 10.44 |
| 1–2 | 9.5% | 10.57 |
| 1–1 | 8.5% | 11.81 |
| 0–3 | 7.9% | 12.59 |
| 1–3 | 7.8% | 12.76 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Willem II or draw | 31% | 3.25 |
| NEC Nijmegen or draw | 88% | 1.14 |
| Willem II or NEC Nijmegen (no draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| Willem II, draw no bet | 15% | 6.69 |
| NEC Nijmegen, draw no bet | 85% | 1.18 |
League position
In the table, Willem II are in position 17 of 18 with 0 points, and NEC Nijmegen in position 13 with 0.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen played out
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Head to head
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Common questions
Who won Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
NEC Nijmegen won 4–1 away at Willem II (Eredivisie, Sat 15 Aug, 16:30 UK time).
When was Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen played?
Eredivisie, kick-off Sat 15 Aug, 16:30 UK time.